Sunday, September 20, 2009

Don't fear the draw

Don't fear the draw - North Americans are unaccustomed to thinking that a game could end in a tie. When it's an all-star game it's deeply offensive. The draw is a major component of soccer, though, and that makes it a betting opportunity. In the elimination round the teams will break ties with extra time and then penalty kicks, but not in the group round. In the last tournament in 2004 there were 24 games played, and eight of them were draws. If you take out the seven or so games that were total mismatches then almost half of the competitive games were a draw. Since the payoff on a draw is almost always better than even money, and often significantly so, they are obviously work a look.

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