Albom

• I won't quit until I get run over by a truck, a producer or a critic.
• Failure seldom stops you. What stops you is the fear of failure.
Paulo Coelho (Portuguese pronunciation: [ˈpawlu kuˈeʎu]; born August 24, 1947) is a Brazilian lyricist and novelist.
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Biography
Paulo Coelho was born in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. He attended a Jesuit school. As a teenager, Coelho wanted to become a writer. Upon telling his mother this, she responded with "My dear, your father is an Engineer. He's a logical, reasonable man with a very clear vision of the world. Do you actually know what it means to be a writer?" After researching, Coelho concluded that a writer "always wears glasses and never combs his hair" and has a "duty and an obligation never to be understood by his own generation," amongst other things. At 17, Coelho's introversion and opposition to following a traditional path led to his parents committing him to a mental institution from which he escaped three times before being released at the age of 20. Coelho later remarked that "It wasn't that they wanted to hurt me, but they didn't know what to do... They did not do that to destroy me, they did that to save me."
At his parents' wishes, Coelho enrolled in law school and abandoned his dream of becoming a writer. One year later, he dropped out and lived life as a hippie, traveling through South America, North Africa, Mexico, and Europe and becoming immersed in the drug culture of the 1960s. Upon his return to Brazil, Coelho worked as a songwriter, composing lyrics for Elis Regina, Rita Lee, and Brazilian icon Raul Seixas. Composing with Raul led to Paulo being associated with satanism and occultism, due to the content of some songs. In 1974, Coelho was arrested and tortured for "subversive" activities by the ruling military government, who had taken power ten years earlier and viewed his lyrics as left-wing and dangerous.[4] Coelho also worked as an actor, journalist, and theatre director before pursuing his writing career.
In 1986, Coelho walked the 500-plus mile Road of Santiago de Compostela in northwestern Spain, a turning point in his life. On the path, Coelho had a spiritual awakening, which he described autobiographically in The Pilgrimage. In an interview, Coelho stated "[In 1986], I was very happy in the things I was doing. I was doing something that gave me food and water -- to use the metaphor in "The Alchemist", I was working, I had a person who I loved, I had money, but I was not fulfilling my dream. My dream was, and still is, to be a writer." Coelho would leave his lucrative career as a songwriter and pursue writing full-time.

Writing career
In 1982 Coelho published his first book, Hell Archives, which failed to make any kind of impact. In 1986 he contributed to the Practical Manual of Vampirism, although he later tried to take it off the shelves since he considered it “of bad quality." After making the pilgrimage to Santiago de Compostela in 1986, Coelho wrote The Pilgrimage. The following year, Coelho wrote The Alchemist and published it through a small Brazilian publishing house who made an initial print run of 900 copies and decided not to reprint. He subsequently found a bigger publishing house, and with the publication of his next book Brida, The Alchemist became a Brazilian bestseller. The Alchemist has gone on to sell more than 110 million copies, becoming one of the best-selling books in history, and has been translated into more than 70 languages, the 71th being Maltese, winning the Guinness World Record for most translated book by a living author.
Since the publication of The Alchemist, Coelho has generally written one novel every two years including By the River Piedra I Sat Down and Wept, The Fifth Mountain, Veronika Decides to Die, The Devil and Miss Prym, Eleven Minutes, Like the Flowing River, The Valkyries and The Witch of Portobello. This dates back to The Pilgrimage; while trying to overcome his procrastination of launching his writing career, Coelho said "If I see a white feather today, that is a sign that God is giving me that I have to write a new book." Coelho found a white feather in the window of a shop, and began writing that day.
In total, Coelho has published 26 books. Two of them -- The Pilgrimage and The Valkyries -- are autobiographical, while the majority of the rest are fictional, although rooted in his life experiences. Others, like Maktub and The Manual of the Warrior of Light, are collections of essays, newspaper columns, or selected teachings. In total, Coelho has sold more than 100 million books in over 150 countries worldwide, and his works have been translated into 67 languages. He is the all-time bestselling Portuguese language author.
Currently, Coelho publishes short stories for Ode Magazine. Every issue devotes a page to Coelho for his writing pleasure.

Adaptations
Several of Coelho's books have been adapted into other media.
In 2003, Warner Bros. bought the rights to the film adaptation of The Alchemist. The project stalled and the movie never materialized, reportedly for problems with the script. At the 2008 Cannes Film Festival, Harvey Weinstein announced that he had bought the rights to the film and will serve as its producer.[15] Laurence Fishburne is set to direct, and to play the eponymous character. The movie will have a reported budget of $60 million. Veronika Decides to Die has also been adapted into a screenplay by Das Films with Muse Productions and Velvet Steamroller Entertainment. The film began shooting on May 12, 2008 with Emily Young directing and Sarah Michelle Gellar starring.
In June 2007, Paulo Coelho announced The Experimental Witch Project, a collaborative project based on The Witch of Portobello.

File sharing
Paulo Coelho is a strong advocate of spreading his books through peer-to-peer file sharing networks. A fan posted a Russian translation of one of his novels online. Sales of his book jumped from 3,000 to one million in three years, with no additional promotion or publicity from his publishers. Coelho took to pirating his own books on Pirate Bay. Coelho provides free translations of many of his books He was caught by the head of HarperCollins, Jane Friedman, who noticed that one of the unauthorized versions Coelho linked to had notes from his own manuscript. The two reached a compromise: each month a new novel can be read for free on the publisher's website. Due to the openness regarding his content, author Jeff Jarvis named Coelho 'the Googliest author' in his book What Would Google Do.
Personal life


Violinist Yehudi Menuhin and author Paulo Coelho, at the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum at Davos, Switzerland, in 1999
Coelho and his wife Christina Oiticica split their time between Europe and Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. He is a Roman Catholic and although he attends Mass, he disagrees with the Pope on several issues, both political and social.
In 1996, Coelho founded the Paulo Coelho Institute, which provides aid to children and elderly people with financial problems. In September 2007, Coelho was named a Messenger of Peace to the United Nations.
• Member of the Board of the Shimon Peres Center for Peace
• UNESCO special counsellor for “Intercultural Dialogues and Spiritual Convergences”
• Board Member of the Schwab Foundation for Social Entrepreneurship
• Member of the Brazilian Academy of Letters
• Member of INI International Advisory Council - HARVARD INTERNATIONAL NEGOTIATION INITIATIVE
• Member of the Board, Doha Center of Media Freedom
• Advisory Board Member, Maybach Foundation
On May 9, 2006,in Sofia, Bulgaria, Paulo Coehlo was awarded by the President of Bulgaria Georgi Parvanov the "The Honorable Award of the President of the Republic".
Note: Although the biography section of Coelho's website states that his first book was published in 1982, the Official Fan Club Paulo Coelho website lists two additional books published in 1974: The Manifest of Krig-há and Theater For Education.


Mitchel David "Mitch" Albom (born May 23, 1958) is an American best-selling author, journalist, screenwriter, dramatist, radio and television broadcaster and musician. His books have sold over 28 million copies worldwide. Having achieved national recognition for his sports writing in the earlier part of his career, he is perhaps best known now for the inspirational stories and themes that weave through his books, plays and films. He is also well-known for his philanthropic work in Detroit, Michigan where he founded four charities.
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Family, childhood, and education
Albom was born in Passaic, New Jersey and briefly lived in Buffalo, New York before moving back to New Jersey as a child, where he attended a synagogue led by Rabbi Albert L. Lewis, the subject of his book, Have a Little Faith. After attending high schools in Southern New Jersey and Philadelphia, including Akiba Hebrew Academy in Lower Merion, Albom went on to Brandeis University in Waltham, Massachusetts to earn a bachelor’s degree in sociology. Pursuing his dream to become a musician, he worked after graduation for several years in nightclubs in the US and Europe. He discovered an aptitude for writing and eventually returned to graduate school, earning a Masters degree from Columbia University’s Graduate School of Journalism, followed by an MBA from Columbia University’s Graduate School of Business.
In 1995, he married Janine Sabino. They live in suburban Detroit, Michigan. They currently have no children.
Work
Early days as a musician
Albom’s original dream was to become a musician, and he played in numerous bands in high school and college. He studied jazz piano with several teachers, including a brief stretch with the well-respected Charlie Banacos at the Berklee College of Music in Boston, Massachusetts. In 1979, having graduated from college, Albom traveled to Europe and found work as a piano player and singer in a taverna on the island of Crete.
Columnist
While living in New York, Albom developed an interest in journalism. Still supporting himself by working nights in the music industry, he began to write during the day for the Queens Tribune, a weekly newspaper based in Flushing, New York. To help build his portfolio, he wrote for local supermarket circulars. Sticking with it, his work there helped earn him entry into Columbia University's prestigious Graduate School of Journalism. During his time there, to help pay his tuition he took work as a babysitter. In addition to nighttime piano playing, Albom took a part-time job with SPORT magazine, which kindled his interest in sports writing. Upon graduation, he freelanced in that field for publications such as Sports Illustrated, GEO, and The Philadelphia Inquirer, and covered several Olympic sports events in Europe – including track and field and luge — paying his own way for travel, and selling articles once he was there. In 1983, he was hired as a full-time feature writer for The Fort Lauderdale News Sun Sentinel, and eventually promoted to columnist. In 1985, having won that year’s Associated Press Sports Editors award for best Sports News Story, Albom was hired as lead sports columnist for the Detroit Free Press to replace Mike Downey, a popular columnist who had taken a job with the Los Angeles Times.
Albom’s sports column became quickly popular with readers. In 1989, when the Detroit Free Press and the Detroit News merged weekend publications under a Joint Operating Agreement, Albom was asked by his newspaper to add a weekly non-sports column to his duties. That column ran on Sundays in the “Comment” section, and dealt with American life and values. It was eventually syndicated across the country. Both columns continue today in the Detroit Free Press.
Albom, during his years in Detroit, became one of the most award-winning sports writers of his era; he was named best sports columnist in the nation a record 13 times by the Associated Press Sports Editors, and won best feature writing honors from that same organization a record seven times. No other writer has received the award more than once. He has won more than 200 other writing honors from organizations including the National Headliner Awards, the American Society of Newspaper Editors, the National Sportscasters and Sportswriting Association, and National Association of Black Journalists. On June 25, 2010, Albom was awarded the APSE's Red Smith Award for lifetime achievement, presented at the annual APSE convention in Salt Lake City, Utah. The selection was heavily criticized by a number of Albom's peers, including fellow Red Smith Award winner Dave Kindred.[9][10][11][12] Many of his columns have been collected into anthology books including Live Albom I (Detroit Free Press, 1988), Live Albom II (Detroit Free Press, 1990), Live Albom III (Detroit Free Press, 1992), and Live Albom IV (Detroit Free Press, 1995).
Albom also serves as a contributing editor to Parade magazine.
Author
Sports books
Albom's first non-anthology book was Bo: Life, Laughs, and the Lessons of a College Football Legend (Warner Books), an autobiography of football coach Bo Schembechler co-written with the coach. The book was published in August, 1989 and became Albom's first New York Times bestseller.
Albom's next book was Fab Five: Basketball, Trash Talk, The American Dream, a look into the starters on the University of Michigan men's basketball team that reached the NCAA championship game as freshmen in 1992 and again as sophomores in 1993. The book was published in November 1994 and also became a New York Times bestseller.
Tuesdays with Morrie
Albom’s breakthrough book came about after viewing Morrie Schwartz’s interview with Ted Koppel on ABC News Nightline in 1995, in which Schwartz, a sociology professor, spoke about living and dying with a terminal disease, ALS (amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, or Lou Gehrig's disease). Albom, who had been close with Schwartz during his college years at Brandeis, reconnected with his former professor, visiting him in suburban Boston and eventually coming every Tuesday for discussions about life and death. Albom, seeking a way to pay for Schwartz’s medical bills, sought a publisher for a book about their visits. Although rejected by numerous publishing houses, the idea was accepted by Doubleday shortly before Schwartz’s death, and Albom was able to fulfill his wish to pay off Schwartz’s bills.
The book, Tuesdays with Morrie, was published in 1997, a small volume that chronicled Albom’s time spent with his professor. The initial printing was 20,000 copies. Word of mouth grew the book sales slowly, and a brief appearance on “The Oprah Winfrey Show” nudged the book onto the New York Times bestseller’s list in October 1997. It steadily climbed, reaching the No. 1 position six months later. It remained on the New York Times bestseller list for 205 weeks. One of the top selling memoirs of all time, Tuesdays With Morrie has sold over 14 million copies and has been translated into 41 languages.
Oprah Winfrey produced a television movie adaptation by the same name for ABC, starring Hank Azaria as Albom and Jack Lemmon as Morrie. It was the most-watched TV movie of 1999 and won four Emmy Awards. A two-man theater play was later co-authored by Albom and playwright Jeffrey Hatcher, and opened off-Broadway in the fall of 2001, starring Alvin Epstein as Morrie and Jon Tenney as Mitch.
Tuesdays With Morrie is regularly taught in high schools and universities around the world and Albom started a private foundation with some of the proceeds, The Tuesdays With Mitch Foundation, to fund various charitable efforts.
The Five People You Meet in Heaven
After the success of Tuesdays with Morrie, Albom's next foray was in fiction. His follow-up book was The Five People You Meet in Heaven (Hyperion Books) published in September 2003. Although released six years after Tuesdays With Morrie, the book was a fast success and again launched Albom onto the New York Times best-seller list. The Five People You Meet in Heaven sold over 10 million copies in 38 territories and in 35 languages. In 2004, it was turned into a television movie for ABC, starring Jon Voight, Ellen Burstyn, Michael Imperioli and Jeff Daniels. Directed by Lloyd Kramer, the film was critically acclaimed and the most watched TV movie of the year, with 18.6 million viewers.
The Five People You Meet in Heaven is the story of Eddie, a wounded war veteran who lives what he believes is an uninspired and lonely life fixing rides at a seaside amusement park. On his 83rd birthday, Eddie is killed while trying to save a little girl from a falling ride. He awakes in the afterlife, where he learns that heaven is not a location but a place in which your life is explained to you by five people who were in it who affected, or were affected by, your life.
Albom has said the book was inspired by his real life uncle, Eddie Beitchman, who, like the character, served during World War II in the Philippines, and died when he was 83. Eddie told Albom, as a child, about a time he was rushed to surgery and had a near-death experience, his soul floating above the bed. There, Eddie said, he saw all his dead relatives waiting for him at the edge of the bed. Albom has said that image of people waiting when you die inspired his concept of The Five People You Meet in Heaven
For One More Day
Albom's second novel, For One More Day (Hyperion), was published in 2006. The hardcover edition spent nine months on the New York Times Bestseller list after debuting at the top spot. It also reached No. 1 on USA Today and Publishers Weekly bestseller lists. It was the first book to be sold by Starbucks in the launch of the Book Break Program in the fall of 2006. It has been translated into 26 languages. On December 9, 2007, the ABC aired the 2-hour television event motion picture "Oprah Winfrey Presents: Mitch Albom's For One More Day," which starred Michael Imperioli and Ellen Burstyn. Burstyn received a Screen Actors’ Guild award nomination for her role as Posey Benetto.
For One More Day is about a son who gets to spend a day with his mother who died eight years earlier. Charley “Chick” Benetto is a retired baseball player who, facing the pain of unrealized dreams, alcoholism, divorce, and an estrangement from his grown daughter, returns to his childhood home and attempts suicide. There he meets his long dead mother, who welcomes him as if nothing ever happened. The book explores the question, “What would you do if you had one more day with someone you’ve lost?”
Albom has said his relationship with his own mother was largely behind the story of that book, and that several incidents in For One More Day are actual events from his childhood.
Have a Little Faith
Main article: Have a Little Faith (Mitch Albom book)
Have a Little Faith, which was Albom's first nonfiction book since Tuesdays With Morrie, was released on September 29, 2009 through Hyperion publishing, recounts Albom's experience writing the eulogy for Albert L. Lewis, a Rabbi from his hometown in New Jersey. The book is written in the same vein as Tuesdays With Morrie, in which the main character, Mitch, goes through several heartfelt conversations with the Rabbi in order to better know and understand the man that he would one day eulogize. Through this experience, Albom writes, his own sense of faith was reawakened, leading him to make contact with Henry Covington, the African-American pastor of the I Am My Brother's Keeper church, in Detroit, where Albom was then living. Covington, a past drug addict, dealer, and ex-convict, ministered to a congregation of largely homeless men and women in a church so poor that the roof leaked when it rained. From his relationships with these two very different men of faith, Albom writes about the difference faith can make in the world.
Radio host
Albom began on radio in 1987 on WLLZ-Detroit, a now-defunct classic rock radio station. He worked on the station’s morning program as a sports commentator, and started a Sunday night sports-talk program, The Sunday Sports Albom in 1988, believed to be one of the first sports talk shows to ever air on FM radio.
In 1996, Albom moved to WJR, a powerful, 50,000 watt clear-channel AM station in Detroit. His five-day a week program is a general talk show with an emphasis on entertainment, writing, current events and culture. He has been honored numerous times by the Michigan Association of Broadcasters as the top afternoon talk show host, and was voted best talk show host in Detroit by Hour Detroit magazine. In 2001, the show was televised nationally in a simulcast by MSNBC. Albom continues to do the show from 5 to 7 p.m. ET.
Television
Albom appears regularly on ESPN's The Sports Reporters (airs Sunday mornings from Studio A in Bristol, CT at ESPN Plaza at 9:00am EST) and SportsCenter. He has also made appearances on Costas Now, The Oprah Winfrey Show, The Today Show, CBS’s The Early Show, ABC’s Good Morning America, Dr. Phil, Larry King Live, The Late Late Show with Craig Ferguson, and most recently appeared as a guest voice on "The Simpsons" on the episode Thursdays with Abie.
Musician
Albom is an accomplished songwriter and lyricist. In 1992, he wrote the song "Cookin' For Two" for a television movie, Christmas in Connecticut, directed by Arnold Schwarzenegger. The song was nominated for The CableACE Award. He also wrote the song "Hit Somebody (The Hockey Song)", which was recorded by singer/songwriter Warren Zevon, with David Letterman on backup vocals. The song was released as a single in Canada and will be adapted into a film by director Kevin Smith, which Albom is co-writing. He currently performs with the Rock Bottom Remainders, a band of writers that also features Dave Barry, Stephen King, Ridley Pearson, Amy Tan, Kathi Kamen Goldmark, Sam Barry (Author), and Scott Turow. Their performances raise funds for various children’s literacy projects across the country.
Charity work
The Dream Fund
"The Dream Fund," established in 1989, provides scholarship for disadvantaged children to study the arts.
A Time to Help
In 1998, Albom started a Detroit volunteer group called "A Time to Help". Every month, the group (affiliated with Volunteer Impact) does a project to help serve and improve the Detroit community. Projects have included work at homeless shelters, food banks, senior citizens homes, and a school for the underprivileged or handicapped. Albom and radio co-host Ken Brown lead each project and try to use the group as a catalyst to increase volunteerism.
S.A.Y. Detroit
S.A.Y. (Super All Year) Detroit is an umbrella program that funds shelters and cares for the homeless. It began in 2006 in reaction to the city’s plan to provide temporary shelter for Detroit’s homeless only during Super Bowl XL weekend. Albom spent a night in a shelter to call attention to the issue, and as a result was able to raise over $350,000 in less than two weeks. It is now a 501(c)3 nonprofit organization that funds numerous homeless shelters throughout the Metro Detroit area.
A Hole in the Roof Foundation
His most recent effort, A Hole in the Roof Foundation, helps faith groups of every denomination who care for the homeless repair the spaces in which they carry out their work. The seed that gave root to the Foundation – and also inspired its name—was the hole in the roof of the I Am My Brother's Keeper church in inner-city Detroit, written about in Have a Little Faith.
A Hole in the Roof Foundation raises and distributes funds to help pay for the materials and labor that are needed to help faith groups make such repairs to their most essential infrastructure: replacing broken windows; shoring up load-bearing walls or loose foundations; repairing leaks and other plumbing problems; fixing or replacing heating sources. Their first project was the I Am My Brother’s Keeper roof in the crumbling but vibrant Detroit church, completed in December 2009. The second project, completed in April 2010, was the rebuilding of the Caring and Sharing Mission and Orphanage in Port-au-Prince, Haiti.
In the spotlight
In the mid-1990s, during a hotly-contested strike at the Detroit Free Press that gained national attention, Albom crossed the picket line and returned to work.{James Bennet, "After 7 Weeks, Detroit Newspaper Strike Takes a Violent Turn, NEW YORK TIMES, Sept. 6, 1995}
In 1999, Albom was named National Hospice Organization's Man of the Year.
In 2000, at the Emmy Awards, Albom was personally thanked by actor Jack Lemmon during his acceptance speech for his Emmy for Best Actor in a TV Movie or Miniseries for Tuesdays With Morrie. It would be Lemmon’s last major acting role.
In February 2003, Albom was called to testify at Chris Webber's perjury trial. Webber had been a member of the University of Michigan's basketball teams of the early 1990s. He was a member of the "Fab Five" players, the subject of a book by Albom. Webber and three other Wolverines who played in the 1990s were alleged to have received over $290,000 in improper loans from a man considered to be a booster of the University of Michigan, although amounts were never verified. The four other Fab Five members were not implicated and the school was cleared of any direct involvement or knowledge of the loans, which were made to players and their families.
In 2005, Albom and four editors were briefly suspended from the Detroit Free Press after Albom filed a column that stated two college basketball players were in the crowd at an NCAA tournament game, when in fact they were not. In a column printed in the Sunday, April 3, Albom described two former Michigan State basketball players, both now in the NBA, attending an NCAA Final Four semifinal game on Saturday to cheer for their school. The players had told Albom they planned to attend, so Albom, filing on his normal Friday deadline but knowing the column could not come out until Sunday – after the game was over - wrote the players were there. The Detroit Free Press also suspended the four editors who had read the column and allowed it to go through to print. But the players' plans changed at the last minute and they did not attend the game. Albom was in attendance at the game, but the columnist failed to check on the two players’ presence.
On November 22, 2005, Albom was the sole and final guest on Ted Koppel's farewell appearance on ABC’s Nightline. Koppel had gotten to know Albom through his broadcasts with Morrie Schwartz and the final program dealt with the legacy of those shows and Albom’s book.
In October, 2006, Albom’s third novel, For One More Day was chosen as the first book to be sold in Starbucks. At Albom’s request, one dollar from each book went to Jumpstart, a charity created to aid literacy in underprivileged areas. On a single day, October 26, as part of the promotion, customer-led book discussions were held in stores in 25 major markets, and Albom spoke, via phone, with all of them.

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快乐的赌徒
我是一个赌徒,现实生活中,我也是的.
不记得什麽时候第一次尝试赌博的.
我说的是真正的赌场.
只记得当时输了,数目不大,其实也还可以赌下去,但是我没有,毅然收手,毫无留恋.
以后,各种赌场,跑马,彩票,我都尝试.次数不多,数目也不大.
结果,当然有输有赢.

现在,我做一种投资,高风险,高收益.
从某种意义上说,也是赌博.每天,我都关注市场行情,看着它起起落落.当然,市场不会遵从我的意志,有时,它会背离我的意志,走到很远很远.
还没有入市以前,就有人和我说,做这个的,没有快乐的人.
因为,赢了,还想再赢,输了,总是悔恨交加.
人性的弱点.
我决定做一个快乐的赌徒.
和所有的赌徒一样,我也是希望赢利的.但是我知道,不是所有的赌徒都是幸运的,我以输,作为前提.
如果赢了,哪怕一点点,我也觉得高兴,有成就感.
不贪婪的人,快乐就多一些.
而如果输了,我也安然处之.
因为我知道,这是自己的决策,我没法怨天尤人.
还有一个原因,那就是,我只投入了很少很少的一部分,无关大局,我输的起.
好多人都说,人生也是一场赌博.
我不知道是不是这样的,但是我知道,很多时候,做抉择的时候,我和身处赌场一样.
这样的时候,我总是在心里问自己,你输的起麽?如果答案是肯定的,我就不再犹豫.
付出的时候,不用问值不值得,只用问有没有能力付出.
人生,有得有失,不必在意.
如果瞻前顾后患得患失,也许什麽都得不到,连快乐,也会失去.
做赌徒没有什麽不好,只要不失去理智,不血本无归.


如何做一个成功的赌博者!
赌场赢赌客的钱，决不单单只赢在数学几率上，还赢在赌客们嗜赌成瘾的弱点上，赢在赌客的贪婪心理、不服输的心理、以及侥幸心理上。因此，对於赌博者来说，学习赌博策略只是整个致胜计划的一个部分，更重要的是，赌博者必须有上佳的赌博心态，并能熟练地把这些知识应用於赌搏实践中。同时，赌博作为一种经济活动，必然涉及到考虑了赌博特点的资金管理方法。
第一节　心理建设作为一个成功的赌博者，必须懂得如何控制自己的情绪。在大部分的情况下，赌客在赌桌上并不仅仅是跟赌场对战，同时还跟自己的情绪和心理作战。在进入赌场进行赌局之前，首先必须针对自己实施心理建设，其目标是要在自己冷静的时候，明确地提供自己一些限制，这些限制包含赌资上限、注码上限、时间的运用、赢的策略、输的策略、以及一些自我的限制。唯有在头脑冷静的时候，才能充分主宰自己的命运，尽量避免在慌忙之中任意行事。
除了知识，赌博能否成功，在某种程度上还与个人的性格、修养有关。就是不仅要有高智商，还要有高情商。破解赌戏，掌握赌博知识，理解现成的研究成果，这些和智商水平有关；而赌搏中的输赢更直接地涉及到金钱利益的得失，要从容面对金钱的得失需要一流的情商。情商可以通过后天培养提高。
　普通赌客作为一名普通的人，难免具有如下的特征：
•急躁易怒之人
　　•过度紧张之人
　　•患得患失之人
　　•没有节制之人
　•意志不坚之人
　　•拼命三郎之人
　　•不听劝告之人
　　•得意忘形之人
乍看之下顿觉芸芸众生的缺点，几乎全在榜上，换言之，未经改造之人根本不适合参与赌博这样的投资行列。平凡之人怎会是赌场的对手？成功的赌家，要有政治家的眼界——以收益率统领全局；银行家的头脑——必须有收益才投资；经济学家的理论——懂得资金的管理和发挥资金的最大效益；投资家的耐心——等待收益率为正的时刻；军事家的胆魄和决断——机会来临，该出手时就出手。　
由於赌客总是一个个现实的人，在和赌场的较量中，除了赌规之外，赌客和赌场之间还存在着优势劣势。面对赌场，赌客要懂得掌握优势，避开劣势。
先谈什麽是赌客优势：
1，赌场全天二十四小时营业，全年不休，赌客则可毫无限制的随时进场出场，赌场的确不能也不需要因获利而停止赌局。
2，赌客可以选择性的下注、任意的加减注码，更可以不赌。
3，争取高退佣及赌场附带的优惠条件。
4，有时赌客可以赊欠赌场，而赌场却得付现给赌客。
　
而对於赌客劣势，我们也得学习去认知和处理：
　　1，赌场的筹码无限，赌客的筹码却有限。
　　2，赌场实行轮班制，赌客个人体力无法与之对抗。
　3，赌场没有情绪，赌客却有情绪，有时难以控制。
　　4，赌场是一个有机运作的组织，赌客却多是单打独斗。
　　
收益率优势是赌博中最大的、起决定性作用的优势，脱离收益率优势来谈论赌博技巧都不过是无本之末、无源之水。只要我们有耐性，遵循战胜赌场的正收益率原则，冷静地配合赌博心法，充份地掌握赌客的优势，让赌场的优势无法得逞，战胜赌场打败庄家不只是电影里的赌神才做得到的事情。
　　
平常心是贪婪心的克星。英雄难过美女关，赌客难过贪婪关，如果不是心存贪念，又怎会卷入这场让人身心备受折磨的赌局！ “贪”字是由“今”和“贝”二字组成的，意为急功近利。“婪”字是由“林”与“女”二字组成的，意为女人如林，欲海无边。为什麽新手上阵往往赢钱？因为新手上场只为好奇、好玩，没有患得患失之心，在贪念还没有滋长之前，不会迷失；因为初次赢钱的惊喜早已让他喜出望外，找地方回味那捡钱般的意外惊喜已经是当务之急。懂得放弃，才会拥有原先属於你的事物，贪字和贫字只差一点，一夜暴发的贪心会导致赌博过度。俗话说，八成是神仙。其实，我们只要能吃到六成，见好就收，入袋为安，平淡之中也能见神奇。因为不可能总是抓到大顶，你就能够化平淡为神奇了。所以要成为赢家，首先得有一颗平常心。
　赌博与其他事业的成功法则不尽相同。在许多领域中，“追求卓越”、“拼博进取”、“只争朝夕”是跨入成功门槛的必备素质，但在赌博活动中，也许“甘於平淡”、“见好就收”、“天长地久”是造就成功者的金科玉律。在其他事业的追求中，或许是“取乎其上，仅得其中”，但在赌博时，恰恰是“取乎其中，适得其上。”
　　没有赌家不曾输钱，没有谁是百战百胜。要知道赌场上有太多不确定的因素，赌客要学会审时度势，根据趋势变化适时休息。在庄家连赢时，要严於自制，决不轻易火中取栗，决不贪心“刀口舔血”；在庄家的风头太盛时，应懂得回避并善於回避，不和庄家硬拼，要提醒自己，随时可以停住这是我们的一大优势。“善於回避”是一种境界，只有在懂得并善於回避之后，才能在赌场长期立足。
　　当你走进赌场，要赢多赢少或是输多输少，要继续要停止，全在你自己。因此，如何适时有度地把握好自己的“期望值”，成为至关重要的课题。牌顺能多赢时，决不手软，出现反复时，期望值则应降低，见好就收才是常胜将军。对牌顺的期望值也不宜过高，因为再顺的牌也有个限度。所以，因时、因机、因情、因势地调整自己的“期望值”，才有希望，才有胜望。
　　赌场经营，不分昼夜，且全年无休，必须心平气和，从容以对，合理安排进场与出场时间，不争一日之长短。一般每场以不超过三小时为原则，每场之间应休息一小时以上。保持精神饱满，士气才会旺盛，财富总是随着气势而行，况且清醒的头脑，才能作出正确的判断。
　　在赌桌上，你很容易就会受到自己的情绪和心理影响，最常见的就是赌博中的“诱惑”。在赌博的进程中，赢钱激发你想赢得更多的雄心，输钱唤起你不顾一切要把它捞回来的报复心。很多不懂得应付“诱惑”的赌博者，最后还是因为贪念导致败北而回。於是，懂得控制时间就成为赌博的重点技巧，这包括懂得赢钱时该什麽时候退出，输钱时该什麽时候离场。
　　因此，你必须为克服自己“人性的弱点”准备一套赌场上的应对措施。这就是下注前预设赢钱和输钱的上限，绝不能因希望赢取更多的金钱或讨回失去的金钱而超越这个上限，这样，你才有机会从赌场上获得胜利。说来相当容易，但这却是普通赌徒无法做到的。讨回输掉失去的金钱的诱惑往往令你理智尽失。於是，设定一个输钱的上限，为的是希望你在失败的时候，留下一个容许自己反思错误的空间。最后，不妨细想一下，上回你输去大笔金钱的时候，是否因为无法控制来自心中的“诱惑”？
　　如果阁下很失运，一进赌场就受到打击，输光了分配给每场的基本赌资，则应耐心等待时间过去，寻求在另一场重新开始。如果在赢的过程中，任何一次最新资本额遭遇失败，也应毫不犹豫地结束赌局，微笑离场，绝不可动用已装入口袋的原始资本额，这就是输的策略。损失下限——不要超过赌本的50% ，如输超过一半，不管是由於什麽原因造成的，还是以马上离场为好。
　在赌博中赢钱走比较容易，输钱要走就比较困难，这是多数赌客的一个弱点。在此，必须提到2002年诺贝尔经济学奖获得者美国普林斯顿大学的以色列籍教授卡尼曼 (Daniel.Kahneman)的研究成果。卡尼曼“把心理学研究和经济学研究有效地结合，从而解释了在不确定条件下如何决策”。
　卡尼曼把心理学运用到现代经济学最成功的方面是预期理论。
　卡尼曼认为，在可以计算的大多数情况下，人们对所损失的东西的价值估计高出得到相同东西的价值的两倍。人们的视角不同，其决策与判断是存在“偏差”的。
卡尼曼与特韦尔斯基(合作者)的研究表明,人在不确定条件下的决策，好像不是取决於结果本身而是结果与设想的差距。也就是说，人们在决策时，总是会以自己的视角或参考标准来衡量，以此来决定决策的取舍。比如赌客去赌场赌，随身带了3000美元，赌客赢了100元，这时要求他离开赌场可能没什麽；但如果是输了100元，这时同样要求他离开可能就很难，虽然赢100元时身上的现金为3100，输100元时身上的现金为2900，3100和2900相差 6.9％，但这两种情况下给赌客的感觉和3100、2900并没有多大关系，而是和它们与本金3000之差100、-100，也即赢100还是输100有关，即人们对财富的变化十分敏感。而且一旦超过某个“参照点”，对同样数量的损失和赢利，人们的感受是相当不相同的。在这个“参照点”附近，一定数量的损失所引起的价值损害(负效用)要大於同样数量的赢利所带来的价值满足。简单地说，就是输了100元钱所带来的不愉快感受要比赢了100元所带来的愉悦感受强烈得多。
　以后在输钱需要回避风头很盛的庄家，但又犹豫不决时，卡尼曼的预期理论也许能帮助我们更好地决策。
　　每当机会来临，赢得每场资本额，应将作为本钱的原始资本额收入口袋，用赢来的钱作为最新资本额，继续投注；同样地，机会来临时，如果再次赢得另一个资本额，此时应提一个资本额拨入口袋算是初步获利，留下成立最新资本额；这样阶梯式地向上发展。当然，每一位赌客设定的获利满足点不一，因此，在赢的阶段中，可以随时喊停，获利出场。经常有这样的情况，某一天，赢的钱到了一个最高点之后，就很难再往上赢，这时应考虑今天是否就到此为止；特别是，在出现了最高点之后，就开始往下掉，如果出现了最高利润失去一半的情况，我们应该守住这还剩下的一半利润。赢钱，不管多少，总是令人愉快的，这就是赢的策略。
现代赌场对赌客的心理有相当深刻的研究。毫无例外，在输钱失利的时候，赌客或多或少，时间或长或短地会表现出种种非理性；而赌场的荷官往往在这个时候利用自己的手势和语调来指挥控制赌客下注，让赌客在失利的时候赌注反而下得更大。作为赌客应该明白这一点，以免到时候受制於人。
　　
灵活地和赌场周旋，赌钱不赌气。算牌必然要涉及到大小注，大小注虽然会引起注意，但是赌场也怕赢冲输缩的赌徒，而他的收入大部分来自於输冲赢缩的赌客。连输六、七次换赌桌，换桌之后还不好就换赌场，这种适度的回避技巧也尤其重要。算牌不需要担心会被禁，因为只有算牌才能赢钱，毕竟赢钱才是第一要务，更何况世界上赌场也不少。前面提到的“MIT 21”所采用的分工合作也是掩饰大小注的好办法。
　　为了达到战胜赌场的目的，你必须明了赌博中的主宰是收益率，坚决克服由於资金有限而产生的不良赌博心理和行为，认清自己与生俱来的特征，它可以引导你突破种种局限，超越赌场里旧有的不由自主的自我，重塑一个全新自由的自我。
二　赌博的戒律
　　有很多久经赌场的人总结出赌博中的一些心得，言简意赅，反映了良好的赌博心态和心理，对建立良好的赌博心理素质有一定的参考价值。
五种赌博心法是忍、等、稳、狠、滚。
　忍，就是要有在赌场内的忍耐能力，要做到无优势不赌，无信心不赌，无运不赌，要记着“忍”，在忍无可忍时，再忍一忍，把庄家风头很盛的时候忍过去。
　等，就是要等有信心的时候。信心来自於对收益率的准确了解，经验可以帮你分析，冷静的情绪可帮你做决定，思考零乱时最不适宜下注。等到收益率大於0的时刻，就可以下注或下大注，一定要等、等、等，等待我们占优、风头很盛的时候的到来。
以保留本钱实力，有运时可以大注出击，翻本之用，道理是一万赢一千要比一千赢一千容易得多。
　　狠，就是下注要够狠，收益率为正时下注要狠，收益率为正而又连赢时下注要更狠，不要错过过三关的机会，因为赌钱不可能每局都赢亦不会每局都输，所以一定要把握时机，有条件时就一定要狠。
　　滚，就是赢钱要做到及时离开赌场，输钱要识得离开赌场，留得青山在，不怕没柴烧。无论你带多少钱去赌场，绝不可能有赢了一间赌场回来的事，所以在适当时候一定要识走，下次再来，最好能够控制到赌十局、赌一局都可以走，末赌过也可以离开。
赌博十大戒律：
1， 输不起，
如果你是一个喜欢赌博的人，但输钱后会感不安或严重影响到情绪，就不要赌，因为赌钱总会有输赢。
二，不懂的赌戏不赌知己知彼，百战百胜，虽然赌博不可能百胜，但如要百战就必须了解对手，赌博中最重要的是要知道参与赌戏的收益率和正确的策略，不参与陌生的赌戏，和常规不同的赌戏。
三，别相信直觉
任何赌博游戏都已被用数学精密地计算过，庄家是绝对占优；所以长期参与的话，是绝不可以凭灵感获胜的；收益率大於0是赌博心理学、资金的管理和资金的效率等有效应用的前提。
四，长策略、短运气赌一把的只靠运气，但在数学上也是赌场占优；如果你打算长期作战的话，必需先知道正确的策略，否则只有输路一条。
五，致胜口诀
赌博讲究策略和注码的运用，赢固然要走，输也要懂得走，时间控制也是取胜之道，致胜的口诀是：忍、等、稳、狠、滚。
　
六，永远当赌博是娱乐
赌博的动机应该是娱乐，尽量减低赌博过程中的压力，不管是输还是赢，始终以平和的心态对待赌博的结果，保持头脑清醒，以免做出冲动的决定。
　　七，别两面下注
　例如，赌二十一点就不要买保险，不应在赌博中为减少风险而增加注码，如果你那麽害怕输，先考虑清楚是否适合赌博。 　　八，世上没有系统能够打败概率论
　世界上没有一种方法可以打败纯概率的赌博，短期投注可以靠运气，长远来说是不可能抵挡概率的侵蚀，收益率说明了一切。
　九，赔率高，利润高
　在一些赔率特别大的赌戏项目中，如百家乐中的“和”，赌场的利润往往是最高的，在有奇高赔率的六合彩中，庄家的利润更是大得出奇。
　　十，没赌胆，不可能在赌桌上生存
　有很多朋友赌钱都抱着这样一种心态，赢就缩、输就冲，就只有输大钱机会，没有赢大钱的可能；如没有赌胆，你根本就不应该玩；收益率大於0是所有赌胆的依据，在一种情况下应该没赌胆，就是在收益率小於0时，要连玩的胆量都没有。
　赌博禁忌：
　进入赌场可以作纯粹参观，如阁下有兴趣参与的话，请紧记以下的赌博禁忌。
　　1，喝醉酒不赌——未能冷静投注。
2，精神不足不赌——欠缺分析能力。
　　3，带病未愈不赌——影响运气。
　4，心情烦躁不赌——容易冲动。
　　5，失业失恋不赌——情绪难以集中。
　　6，与人争执不赌——未能冷静，影响决定。
　　7，赶时间及赶注不赌——财不入急门。
　　8，有亲人、情人在旁不赌——影响注码及下注决定。
　　9，不熟识的游戏不赌——不了解，实仆街。
　　10，赌本是借回来的不赌——借钱翻身，例必追杀。
　11，赢了，再折返赌场不赌——老鸡翻斗，切忌回头。
　　12，同桌有讨厌的人不赌——期望对方输钱，会影响投注决定。
　　13，输冤家牌不赌——今天运气已尽，不宜久留。
叶汉乃一代赌王，赌技精湛，生前风云，死后亦备受世人赌徒尊崇，推为偶像，留下赌神秘籍“四宜八忌”，称为风云十二绝招。
　四宜是：
　1，宜忍，手风不顺，先要忍忍手。
　　2，宜等，等运到，后下注。
　　3，宜狠，手风转顺，落注要够狠。
　4，宜杀，自己做庄兼好运，几大都要杀！
八忌为：
1，忌心情不佳，焦躁不宁。
2，忌经济拮据，“孤寒钱”（孤寒钱：不可缺少的生活费）输得快。
3，忌磨烂席（磨烂席：死都不肯离开），长赌好伤神。
4，忌情人在侧，心思思，有金唔识执（唔识执：不晓得拿）。
　5，忌骄躁轻浮，先赢后败北。
　6，忌身旁赌客“乞己憎”（乞己憎：讨厌），最易倒酶。
　7，忌姑息养奸，有钱唔（唔：不）赢尽，转头让人食剩得棚骨。
8，忌唔熟行、唔识玩，夹硬（夹硬：总是要）下注盏（盏：惹）心伤。
　　对照以上戒律，可以发现，久经赌场的人总结出来的东西还是有很多共同之处。这是因为钱少的玩得小，钱多的玩得大，但不管钱多钱少，对任何人来说都是有限的，因此，大家有些共识就不足为奇了。
　应该注意到，叶汉首先是作为一个开赌场的赌王，其次才是一位在赌场里游戏的赌王。不管其在赌场里如何地一掷千金，输赢是让普通人瞠目的几百万美金，其投资赌场的收益都远远超过这个数字。对赌王叶汉来说，开赌场是投资，赌博是娱乐。最重要的是，叶汉本人开赌场，从来没有规定过什麽类似上面的戒律，说穿了，叶汉玩的百家乐不过是一种负收益率的赌戏，才有了上面的“四宜八忌”，普通人不可不看到这一点。
第二节　赌博胜经
　　赌博是有风险的，因此，仅仅知道赌戏的正确策略还不够，还有一些资金方面的问题要解决：每场应该带多少钱？每次应该下多大的注？才能把风险控制在可以承受的范围。每个赌客的财力不同，对风险的承受能力和所设定的目标也不同，不论财力的大小，每场可动用的资金和注码的变化都有其比例，为了让注码有所依据，对它的限制就必须事先有所规定。
攻守注法
经常在赌场里赌，输输赢赢是免不了的。输有小输和大输之分，承受不了小输，希望通过加大注码来报复赌场、改变局面，多半是小输变大输，因为大输往往就是在由於小输连输而加大赌注时发生；既然输是免不了的，我们宁愿接受小输，连输时决不加注，从而避免大输，“吃小亏是为了不吃大亏”。同样，赢也有小赢和大赢之分，如果小赢的时候由於担心加大注码而失去这小赢的利润，将很难尝到大赢的滋味，而大赢往往就是在小赢连赢的时候加大注码发生；赢也是必然要发生的，应该不仅仅停留於小赢，不因贪图小利而束缚了自己的手脚，一有机会就变小赢为大赢；在连赢时要敢於加注，尽量把握住大赢的机会，“不贪小利是为了追求大利”。
在连赢的时候，要敢於加注，犹如冲锋陷阵，该出手时就出手。不少人不敢在连赢时下大注，这是他们不能赢大钱的原因。赌场如战场，资金就是你的士兵，在赢钱的情况下才能从容地投入战斗。在连输的时候，要勇於减注，避实就虚。这也符合兵法的原则，胜兵先胜而后求战，败兵先败而后求胜，要“胜之而求战”，不能“战之而求胜”。
因此，对待输赢就有了两种截然不同的心态，一种是“赢不起输得起”。所谓“赢不起输得起”是指在赢的时候不敢加注，生怕把赢来的钱输掉，而在输的时候，往往反而敢於下注，越输赌注下得越大，想通过赢一次就把输掉的捞回来，这是小市民意识很重的一种下注法，往往是赢小钱输大钱，非常地不可取。另一种是“赢得起输不起”，又称为“连赢要冲、连输要缩”。在赢的时候敢於下注，特别是在连赢的时候，赌注越下越大，在输时要谨慎下注，特别是在连输的时候，赌注越下越小，这种下注法往往是赢大钱输小钱，理解其中的道理之后，很容易被接受。要注意的是，这里的“输不起”是注码运用中的一种策略，前面“赌博十大戒律”中的“输不起”是输钱后的一种感觉。
　从数学上来看，“连赢要冲、连输要缩”，或者是相反，二者并没有什麽分别，差别在心理上。应用“连赢要冲、连输要缩” 的策略时没有什麽心理压力，投注会很轻松；相反的投注法，由於在连输的时候已经损失了很多筹码，却还要加大注码冲，对普通人的心理压力较大，要求必须有足够的金钱承受能力。从卡尼曼的预期理论可以得出结论，在已经亏损的情况下，人们是一个风险追求者，而不是一个风险厌恶者，“输冲赢缩”是人们不自觉地应用的一种方法，有这种习惯的人对“连赢要冲、连输要缩”这种方法需要一个适应过程。不是想方设法的规避损失，而是要坦然地面对，这是“连赢要冲、连输要缩” 对待损失的态度。
　考虑到算牌要求我们在正收益率时下大注，很自然就产生了一种把算牌和“连赢要冲连输要缩”思想结合起来，又容易掩饰大小注的赌博方法。
　　平常应以小注码投入，10元至25元之间皆可。每当收益率为正的机会来临，要以比平时大一倍的注额投注。两倍赌注时，如果输了且收益率为负，自然又下最小的基本注；如果输了但收益率仍然为正，还是以平时赌注的一倍投注；如果赢了但收益率变成了0，可以既不加注也不减注；如果赢了而且收益率还是为正，可以把赢的筹码加在本金上，这样很轻松地赌注就到了平时的四倍。四倍赌注时，如果输了且收益率为负，自然就下最小的基本注；如果输了但收益率仍然为正，还是以平时赌注的一倍投注；如果赢了但收益率变成了0，可以既不加注也不减注；如果赢了而且收益率还是为正，有两种选择，一种是不把赢的筹码全部加上作为赌注，而是用部分赢的筹码作为增加的赌注，把赢的筹码收回来一部分；另一种是把赢的筹码加在本金上，这样很轻松地赌注就到了平时的八倍。以此类推。要注意在赌注已经加得很大，中间有任何一次失败而收益率仍然为正时，应该下所输赌注的一半或者2/3，只在突然连输时，才应该把赌注减得很小。这样，既可以把赌注很自然地下大，又可以避免收益率为正但庄家风头很盛时跟庄家硬拼造成大的损失。这种下注法把赌搏理论和赌博心理相结合，既不激进也不保守，攻中有守，守中有攻，攻守兼备，十分稳妥，是作者常用的下注法，可称之为攻守注法。攻守注法比较好地兼顾了正收益率原则和赌博心理学的方方面面，可操作性比较强，读者可根据自己的实际情况制定适合自己的攻守注法。
攻守注法是基於正收益率原则的一种赌博方法，其精髓在於“连赢要冲，连输要缩”。在赌资有限，因而对金钱的承受能力也有限的情况下，攻守注法是赌客克服人性的弱点、控制赌博中的风险、轻松面对强大的赌场的一种有效方法，不仅与数学有关，也和心理学有关。而注码法却是企图通过注码的变化来战胜赌场，往往要求越输越加注，不仅与概率无关，还不符合赌博心理学的要求。不可把攻守注法同与收益率的正负无关的注码法相混淆。
股市是一个风险与机会并存的地方，投资股市，必须随时衡量风险与机会大致所占的比重。没有哪个投资者不重视机会和风险，但对待的态度却完全不同。判断准确、行动果断的大智慧投资者总是在机会远大於风险的时侯，抓住机会；在风险远大於机会的时侯，回避风险。在对待机会的选择和风险的规避上，赢家减少了出错的概率，结果最终胜出。反之输家极力追求胜算，但错误总是不经意扩大，即使侥幸赢了最终仍是输。任何情况下，只做必然性行情，不做可能性行情，以投资而不是以赌徒的眼光看待机会与风险.
赌博也有类似的地方。长期赌博输赢的走势是确定的、必然的，绝对的；但某一天赌博输赢的走势是不确定的、偶然的、相对的。如果说赌博高手比一般赌客水平高的话，其高就高在，在收益率大於0、久赌必赢的条件下，抓住偶然的确定性的几率多於失误於必然的不确定性的几率。
攻守注法的应用必然要涉及到赌博大势的研判。在赌场里赌，输输赢赢很正常，不能庄家赢一次（这里的一次是指下一次注），就说庄家的风头很盛，庄家输一次，就麻痹大意随意加大注码。那麽，有没有什麽方法来进行赌博大势的研判呢？就笔者的经验，赌博中，主要是在二十一点赌戏中，有几种态势：一种是正常态势，在赌戏进行中输输赢赢，筹码来来去去，有去有来，输赢的次数没有明显的分别，攻守注法在这种态势下可适当应用，攻守并重；另一种是庄家盛的态势，本来牌发下来以后，我们的牌面占优，而最后的结果却是庄家赢，如果这种情况连续或者经常发生，就可以断定庄家风头很盛，这时什麽方法都很难见效，应该换赌桌回避，换赌桌还是不行我们就应该考虑采取最彻底的守势——走；第三种是我们盛的态势，本来牌发下来以后，我们的牌面并不占优，甚至很弱，而最后的结果却赢了，当这种情况连续或者经常发生时，就可以断定这时我们的风头很盛，如果这时收益率还为正，应该毫不犹豫地把赢来的筹码加上去，乘势反击一定要有力，这时的攻守注法应以攻为主。通常通过大势研判来掌握进攻的强度和节奏。
由於每个人情况不同，即使在攻的时候，也有强弱之分。如果你的资金足够，有足够的承受能力，完全可以不管在此之前是输是赢、输多少赢多少，一旦收益率为正，就下最大的赌注，全力进攻。攻守注法也包含这种全攻的情形.
总之，应用攻守注法的时候，是以攻为主、还是以守为主、或者攻守兼顾，应该不拘形式，依据具体的态势结合收益率顺势而为。
在大势研判中，一般当我们盛的时候，总是维持现状不改变牌局，只是增加注码来响应；在庄家盛时的起始阶段，有时也通过减少注码、增减门数等措施来施加影响，如果措施无效，那就是庄家真的很盛了。赌博大势研判的原理也是在心理学。
三　资金的管理与效率
穿越干旱的沙漠，要准备足够的饮水，方能走完全程；进入赌场，也需准备足够的赌本，才能从容应战。走在沙漠中，一定口干舌燥，需要喝水解渴，但是每天饮水，必须要有节制，否则尚未到达终点，就已人仰马翻；来到赌桌，有一笔足够的赌资固然重要，如何合理分配赌注，实现久赌必赢也同样重要。
　　人们常说，不要把鸡蛋都放在一个篮子里，说的是处理具有风险的事情的一种方法。鸡蛋是易碎品，存在着被摔坏的风险，不把鸡蛋放在一个篮子里，即使摔坏了一篮，也不至於没鸡蛋吃饿肚子。当然在对待如何放鸡蛋这样的小事上，不至於要用几个篮子来放鸡蛋，而且现代人的生活越来越方便，相信多数人都把鸡蛋放在了一个篮子里。但是，在对待像炒股、炒汇和赌博这种事关重大、具有高风险的事情上，一个头脑冷静的智者必然遵循和贯彻了“不要把鸡蛋放在一个篮子里”这种思想。
　　资金的分配管理是赌博活动中首先要考虑的问题。正如赌场也要通过设定赌注的上下限以保证使游戏能够长期进行下去一样，在收益率大於0 的情况下，在赌资的分配上，赌客也应通过一定的方式以使这个游戏能够长期进行下去。根据具体的情况，每次都只带赌资的一部分进赌场，“不把鸡蛋放在一个篮子里”，规避短期风险，这是资金分配管理的总原则。
　　首先，应根据在赌场停留的总时间来作资金的分配。譬如说:预计停留五天，至少应将赌资分成三份作为每天可以动用的赌资。再依照每日场数分配，而注码的调整就是根据每场赌资的多少来运作。　　
　　资金管理与收益率有关，收益率正得越多，对资金管理的要求越不严格；收益率正得越少，对资金管理的要求就越严格。资金管理还与赌戏收益率的标准差有关。实施分配制的资金控制，是规避短期风险、避免失败的防御武器。
　　带上一笔钱进了赌场，在赌桌上的每一次投注，也不是随心所欲，也需要遵循一定的原则——资金最大效率原则。一般赌场都有各种不同赌注的赌桌，我们应该选择和自己身上的赌资相适应的赌桌玩。如带一千美金就应该玩最小10个美金的赌桌，带三千美金就应该玩最小25美金的赌桌。当然，带一千美金也可玩最小二十五美金的赌桌，但一旦机会来临，很难做到把赌注拉开距离，即使做到了，一旦遭受两三次打击，资金就明显的不够，只能打打平均注，结果往往是以失败离场，这种下注法往往把输赢放在次数很少的决战上，不符合久赌必赢的思想，一般不适宜采用。
　　相反，带三千美金却最大赌注只下到五、六十的话，这样使用资金就存在很大的风险。因为在正常情况下这样下注一般能赢一千美金左右就算不错了，而遇到不好的情况，却很容易输个七、八百；由於这时还有很多资金，为了把输掉的尽快打回来，往往很容易开始提高赌注。其实下小注已经输掉七、八百的话，意味着这时的牌已经很不好；在带的资金很多的情况下，由於大意降低了对危机的敏感程度，意识不到这时危急已经来临，反而把赌注下得很大，往往会把大资金输在情况已经很糟糕的赌局里。我们应该尽量避免这种情况出现。在前一节里我们已经说过，在这样的情况下应该下小注，最好来个最彻底的守——走。
　　充分发挥资金的最佳效率是创造更大财富的关踺。要让资金发挥最佳的效率，应该合理地规划最小赌注、最大赌注与所带资金的比例。一般以最小堵注大致为总资金的百分之一，最大赌注不超过总资金的十分之一为宜。运用大势研判和资金的最佳效率原则，在运用攻守注法以攻为主时，合理安排进攻的节奏，可以波澜不惊地达到最大赌注。
　在收益率大於0的前提下，懂得资金的管理和如何发挥资金的最佳效率，加上灵活地运用攻守注法，在和赌场的较量中取胜将易如反掌。
　攻守注法也好，这一节谈到的资金管理与资金的效率也好，都是一个总的原则。具体应用时，每个人的情况不同，肯定有每个人更具体的攻守注法和资金管理与资金的效率的原则，只要大体遵循这些原则就可以了。
熟练地掌握赌博理论，对各种赌戏在不同规则下的收益率了然於胸，熟练应用“攻守注法”，并结合资金的管理与资金的效率理论，赌场的神秘感将一扫而光，具有完全的透明度，那时的你将是一个健康而自信的赌搏人。　　
赌博的最高境界是“久赌必赢”。输钱和赢钱已经不会引起你任何情绪上的波动，一时的输赢在你心里已经激不起任何波澜。输钱离场对你不再是一种痛苦，你明白这是赌博游戏的一部分。你对赢钱也不再喜悦，因为这是正收益率的必然结果。你知道在赌场里只要按照正收益率原则、顺应赌博的规律做正确的事情，利润随之而来是自然而然的事情。
赌神世界论坛




華裔賭神戴子郎
俗話說，十賭九輸，不過靠賭維生的人還大有人在，台灣賭神戴子郎就是一例，他不但靠賭維生還以賭致富，戴子郎說，要成為BLACKJACK21點職業賭徒，單槍匹馬很困難，打團體戰最有利。最著名的就是麻省理工算牌團隊，十多年遊賭生涯，戴子郎結識世界頂尖職業賭徒，其中不乏具有這個團隊出身背景的玩家，雖然是地下社團，卻早已經揚名國際，家喻戶曉。(
東森新聞報報導說，創辦這個地下社團的是前麻省理工學院一名ABC華裔學生張約翰，他現在的地位可是教父級的賭神，曾經被列為21點名人堂，由於被列為賭場黑名單，爲了進入賭場玩牌，張約翰還經常反串成女人掩人耳目，只要能夠進入這個團隊的人，全都是數學天才
社團由學長教新隊友算牌技巧，出師之後由社團提供賭資，贏得的錢三七或四六分帳，10年來社團靠賭賺進天文數字。(

2千萬美金，觀眾可別羨慕，畢竟這些數學高手都被列為全球賭場的黑名單，包括戴子郎在內，想要像平常人到賭城輕鬆度個假，還得偷偷摸摸，深怕被人認出賭神真面目。
至於他個人的戰績，戴子郎說，11年博奕生涯讓他賺進250萬美元，要在賭場真正贏到錢，克服賭桌上的誘惑是很重要的。
戴子郎接受專訪時提到偷溜進賭場的經驗，他說，雖然是在黑名單上，他還是會去賭，曾經有一次被賭場發現後，被請到保安室照相，不過，做完這些例行程序後，保全員接著說，「我們公事辦完了，現在你是不是可以好好教我們一下？！」
11年博奕生涯，他出過「賭遊記」、「賭神戴子郎教你嬴」等多本教戰書籍，俗話說十賭九輸似乎不適合用在他身上，戴子郎很不好意思說，他估計11年來，大概賺進了約250萬美金，與其他人賠到傾家蕩產的結局大不相同。而他也提出賭博十戒與下注十要，希望大家能引以為戒
他說，當初他因為炒股票傾家蕩產，如今他十賭九贏，但是，當初他也歷經過艱難的起步過程，不是一般人所能了解的。至於戴子郎是他的筆名，而戴子郎的意思就是帶著兒子的郎，「小孩三歲時我就離婚，當時有雜誌專訪我說，別人是因賭而債，我是因債而賭。」(
戴子郎表示，因為十賭九贏，如今有世界各地都有人追隨在他門下，拜他為師，他說，「那（賭場）是很誘惑的環境，如果在這種環境下，能夠克服這種誘惑，這些人就可能是真正贏到錢的人。」
另據報導，平日相當低調的台灣賭神戴子郎，曾經被世界80多家知名賭場列為不受歡迎人物，他在日前將要周遊世界各國的賭遊經驗，集結成冊，同時更躍身成為作家。(
戴子郎在接受專訪時，與讀者分享經驗，他說，「什麼叫賭博？各位去買彩券，那麼100塊錢買下去，真正回到手上的獎金，和所有的獎金加起來大概只有60元，所以結果呢？你的100元丟下去，只回來60元。」(

附戴子郎的賭博十戒：(

1.量力而賭
2.合法的賭
3.累、急、憂、生病時不賭
4.不懂的不賭
5.氣氛不對不賭
6.勝算太低的不賭
7.醉時不賭
8.下午不賭
9.輸時不怨
10.堅守「下注十要」
下注十要
1.堅守底線
2.分配賭本
3.嚴守分配,節制輸嬴
4.最多賭賭本的三%
5.嬴時加碼
6.鎖住部份嬴利
7.連輸時不加碼
8.連輸六、七次換桌,連輸兩手換場子
9.賭兩種以上
10.堅守十誡


詹培忠贯彻赌仔心得炒股
2010-03-09
　　
赢要赢到尽 输要识走人
立法会金融服务界代表詹培忠，出名我行我素，当全世界都说买匯丰控股稳阵、投资大价股可靠时，他会笑你。「匯丰那么易升吗！」他钟情细价股，因为「细细粒，容易升」，要升一倍都可以。不过，买细价股他也有教路，升时可以赚到尽，输就不要「磨烂席」，但凡本金蚀入肉10%，就要认输「走人」。詹培忠赌性甚强，爱出入赌场之余，又爱炒卖细价股，但从无听闻他因输大钱而欠下一身债。「因我赌得叻！」一向牙擦的詹培忠说。　
蚀过一成要离场　
「叻」固然重要，但要在股场、赌场上旗开得胜，詹培忠其实也有一套自创策略，那就是「输钱时要肯停」。「买股都是为了钱，不要讲到自己好伟大，说是为投资，说到尾其实都是为了一个钱字。」要赚钱，詹培忠说有得赚时就要赚到尽，「Let the profit run（让利润一路增加），输钱时就要「识得走」。　「只股3仙升到4仙，你就由得它升，升到5仙跌番落4.5仙，你就byebye（沽货）」。他的秘诀是，赚钱赚到高位，如果已经是利润，由高位回落15％，便应沽货离场。若果不是利润，是自己打的本，更要蚀10％就「鬆人」。　「保留实力，唔好磨烂席。」

詹培忠说，这一大原则，他也用於赌上。「起初落注落少少，赢得几铺后，就将赢回来的钱去赌。拿赌场的钱（即赢回来的钱），来作战，你会觉得寧舍够力。」「但连续输了几舖，我就会立刻收手。」　「赌要赌得叻 否则唔赌」　他自夸自己讲得出做得到：「我2008年8月自动当选之后，话过在赌场赚两亿，结果在2008年9月到09年6月的10个月内，我赚了2亿零700万。但6月之后运气不好，赌6次输了5000万元，之后到现在，我就没有再入过赌场了！」　「我成日叫人唔好赌，要赌就要赌得叻。我肯输，赌场最怕我这些人。做人一样，不要恋栈，好就去，不好就不去。」他会为自己定下标准，每入赌场，输掉几百万至千万元，就必定收手。　

股场上，詹培忠独爱炒卖细价股，因为容易升、容易达标。「匯丰100元跌到0，是损失100％，但细价股由1仙去到2仙，也是100％，2仙去到4仙，又是另一个100％，这个数学逻辑，解释了为何细价股吸引。」　他续说﹕「细价股细细粒，1仙升（至）2仙你已达标；买匯丰，大行话3月变『红底股』又怎样，你买得几多？几时等到它升到200元？」　不过，股海内的细价股多不胜数，又良莠不齐，股民应如何选择？詹培忠说要小心那些频频供股集资的股份，「经常供股当然是骗人，很多人都想骗小股东，江山易改，本性难移。他们有些会专登『做跌』只股份，再供股搵钱。」　细价股风险虽高，亦难以看透大股东的背后意图，但詹培忠认为，只要守著亏本10％即止蚀的原则，输极都有个限度。说到投资心水，他说看好资源、环保概念股，因有爆炸力。　
爱细价股易升易达标　
向来好投资「壳股」的詹培忠，近年他手上的壳，都转型做矿產资源，他认为收购矿產有得做。他说手上一家公司，在非洲马达加斯加收购铬矿，连开採及运输费的每吨成本只100美元，但卖到内地，到岸价有每吨360美元，即每吨可赚260美元。如果以每吨10美元的作价在马达加斯加买矿，日后有财团愿意高价收购的话，「我就发大达了。」　看好矿產 有利可图　说赌说炒股，詹培忠说到眉飞色舞。「香港人有那个不是在赌博，结婚是赌、生仔也是赌，我经常说，个仔孝顺是还债，不好就是讨债，虽然大部分都是来讨债的！」不过，他认为底线是不要为赌博或炒股影响到正常生活。「不要赌到有工不做、影响生活、及影响到家人」。

炒股如入赌场 最紧要保本
詹培忠近年炒壳炒得不亦乐乎。根据联交所的资料，他现在仍持有11间上市公司的股权。他说炒壳跟入赌场一样，最重要是有机会便先保住自己的本钱。　他眾多壳股之中，百营环球主席施展望早前被人入稟追数，有传媒指「金劳詹」这趟「老猫烧鬚」。但詹在访问中说，自己早已透过批股，收回买壳本钱，现在手持的百营股票，已是他的利润。　「我识施展望的大舅，他来找我时，说有个印尼镍矿可以注入公司。后来百营发了23.4亿股，我拿了两成，即是4.68亿股。但是我在股价升到1.5元时，把3亿股卖给许荣茂（世茂房地產主席），每股0.75元，袋了两亿多。我买壳的成本只是1亿多，即是我已经没有损失。」　炒百营 及时批股封蚀本门　现在百营股价跌至0.2元，那么许荣茂岂不因为詹培忠「坐艇」。「我卖给他时已声明，这些股票买就易，要卖就难，而且起跌很快。」但许仍要买。「我事后也有跟施展望说，不如低价批些股给许生，帮他沟下货，但好似他们倾唔掂数。」　詹说他卖了3亿股给许荣茂后，施展望又将一批股份卖了给他，令他持股升至3亿多。「我在（每股）0.25元再卖了一些，现在手持3亿股，市值6000万元，已经是净赚。」「股票这东西，好的时候就是钱，不好时还衰过厕纸，厕纸还可以用来抹下屁股。」　詹说过去两年多，经他手的上市公司共有12间，现在已卖了10间公司股权，剩下两间。现在他又在谈入股3至5间上市公司。「因为我有公信力，熟悉公司运作，所以别人才想把只壳卖给我。」　他也主动向记者强调，自己买壳每每只买两成多股权，刚好没超过全面收购的触发点（佔上市公司30％股权），完全是合法行为。「逃税、瞒税当然是犯法，但避税几时都是合法的事。」






避強,攻弱,知運,知足,



詹培忠，在百家樂枱上豪賭狂贏了二億多元巨款


受金融海嘯衝擊，股市大上大落，不少人輸身家，連有金牌莊家之稱的詹培忠，過去一年在股壇亦沒有大斬獲。不過，生意淡薄，不如賭博，他轉去澳門賭場一展身手，竟於短短十個月，在百家樂枱上豪賭狂贏了二億多元巨款，令人咋舌。
詹培忠接受本刊專訪，首次詳細披露他的贏錢經過。一向牙擦的他說，這是他賭錢數十年來，贏得最勁的輝煌紀錄。他還向本刊講述其贏錢的六大心法。
詹培忠過去多年一直憑藉十二字獨創心訣：「心清、數熟、贏谷、輸縮、夠毒、知足」，縱橫全球賭場，現正籌備出版一本《詹培忠勝經》，披露贏錢秘訣以及各地賭場的超豪享受與人生百態。但賭遍天下的他，還是奉勸賭仔一句：「十賭九輸，量力而為。」
詹培忠狂贏之旅詹培忠這一次狂贏之旅，於去年八月二日揭開序幕。全程都在酒店特別安排的貴賓房內，一個人專用一張枱，完全不受外界騷擾，酒店方面派人全程貼身服侍。
拉斯維加斯夜色紙醉金迷，詹培忠說，他每年平均來這裏兩次歎世界。


獨沽一味百家樂百家樂可以記牌，有數得計，正正是詹培忠的強項，因此他每在賭枱搏殺，都選擇自己的強項作戰，對玩百家樂可謂情有獨鍾。

分享賭博「大心訣」詹培忠說，他賭博的「大心訣」，就是「心清、數熟、贏谷、輸縮、夠毒、知足」；在百家樂賭枱上，他的秘訣則是，可買莊或閒，但從不買和，因為和的賠率遠低於得勝率。

擇好日揀旺場詹培忠有個基本原則，就是一般日曆上註明當日不宜開賭的話，他便不賭，其餘日子一有興趣就照賭可也，而去澳門後，旺開有條路，他就主力在最旺他的賭場作戰。
永利是詹培忠其中一個「旺地」，他在這裏贏得多鋪大錢。


一鋪上落一百五十萬元詹培忠憶述世紀一鋪，一鋪贏三千七百萬。

贏得太勁 賭場要驗牌由於贏得實在太勁，他每次一抵埗，賭場方面都表現得相當緊張，錄影和睇實他出牌的一舉一動。據他了解，在其贏大錢離去後，賭場方面亦特地把他用過的牌收回，再仔細逐張檢驗一次。

賭錢勿當玩詹培忠總結多年出入賭場經驗指出，賭場擁有四大優勢，對着賭仔可以說是通殺。由於各種各樣的客觀環境條件都對賭場有利，賭仔如果不自知，一定輸到貼地。
賭場設施精心布置，燈火通明，二十四小時營業，詹培忠說，許多賭仔忽視這一點，這是賭場所設的「消耗戰」格局，等賭仔一路賭下去，最終筋疲力竭而輸清光。


賭徒心態千奇百怪他說，賭徒心態各異，其中有一類專包拗頸，喜愛「頂燈」方式下注。

拉斯維加斯超豪享受- 詹培忠表示，以他的經驗，全世界的賭場以美國拉斯維加斯最豪最歎，澳門主要畀賭仔去搏殺的，要享受都係去拉斯維加斯。
- 去年聖誕詹培忠和太太以及其他親友一行二十人去拉斯維加斯，行程使費埋單要五十多萬美金，全由賭場包起。
- 酒店套房有私家泳池，房面積逾萬呎。
- 極豪美食包括佛跳牆，十幾隻鮑魚塞滿煲。
- 幾萬元一支的法國布根地紅酒王La Romanne-Conti任他飲。
- 六大煲燕窩迎賓，多到當飲礦泉水。

再輸五百萬便收手詹培忠表示，由於今次在澳門贏得太大，因此他正考慮是否從此正式金盆洗手，退出賭壇，如果輸超過五百萬元，就收手。

詹培忠分享六大贏錢秘訣心清、數熟、贏谷、輸縮、夠毒、知足
詹培忠勝經自言是全世界十大豪賭賭徒的詹培忠說，考慮出版一本《詹培忠勝經》，將過去三十多年的贏錢心得與經歷，結集成書。











简短易懂的真人轮盘技巧 - 300法
发表时间:2010-11-25 04:36内容来源:百家乐网
这套方法的名称是因它在通常情况下所需的金额而定的。
1. 押 100 美金在第一组(数字 1-12)
2. 押 100 美金在第二组(数字 13-24)
3. 分别押 10 美金在任意的10个数上（从第三组选出）
如果打中第一或者第二组的任何一个数，你所赢得的与你所押的注金等值。
继续游戏。
如果打中第三组中所选押的10 个数中的任意一个，你将赢得你在那一个数上所押的6倍。
这里为60 美金！ (可能性1 : 3,5)
如果打中没有押的那两个数，或者打中零，
你将赔掉300 美金(可能性1 : 12,3)



轮盘4-3-1下注法
方法如下：

用4个筹码买1-18号 (1赔1)，3个筹码买25-36号(1赔2)，1个筹码买19,20,22,23(1赔8)。

这样如果开1-18号就会打和(chance 18/37)，开19,20,22,23,25-36就赢一个筹码(chance 16/37)，开0,21,24就PK(chance 3/37)。

这方法只有开正个三个号码才会输。

可以在轮盘机试试!



网赌结合兵法之七计! PS:网赌半年多的总结
网赌半年多了,刚计算了一下我NET帐户的进帐,赢利已经接近20K$!由于自己理财的问题,虽然没有太多的节余,但是毕竟从赌场赢了那么多钱出来了.所以现在来做个总结吧.
最近做PT下来,赢利也超过本金的10倍了,我自己总结下来的话,主要是几个方法结合使用,我从来不会一个方法从开始用到最后.
我觉得赌场和人一样,也有情绪的,而赌博就象战争,最终目的是要取胜!所以我赌钱的时候,是从大局出发,不在乎过程,要的是结果,所以我会结合"兵法",从大局出发,把每一牌的输赢当作打仗的每一个战役,然后采取相应的策略,最终取得胜利!
所以我总结了以下几"计":
一,"欲擒姑纵"之计!
我连赢很多手,他就会"生气",再连吃我很多手.在它连吃我的时候,我就故意输给它,下最小注,什么牌都要,BUST为止!直到我天生21点或者连续几手20点为止!我会考虑下最大注了,而且会连续下大注.从理性上讲,这样会打乱所谓的软件程序. 从感性上讲,这样会让庄家变的"骄傲",然后让它防不胜防,短时间内取胜!这就是"骄兵之计"!或是"欲擒姑纵"之计!
二,"调虎离山"之计!
我玩BJ,只要有多手台(注意:是单人多手,而不是多人台!),我势必会上多手台,如果在使用第一计不成功或是收益不理想的时候,我会使用"调虎离山"之计!第一计针对单手的情况,就是跟庄家肉搏,如果实在是博不过它,太强了,就好象一头下山猛虎,那我会立即"调虎离山"!让它去山下兜风去吧,立即转向多手,一般是上3手,这时候你会发现,"山中无老虎,猴子称霸王!"呵呵,抓紧时间狠宰一把!没有什么细节,要通过实践去体会,就不多说了.
三,"走为上"计!
这就不多说了,如果一,二两计均失效,走人!留得青山在,不怕没柴烧!呵呵
四,"顺手牵羊"之计!
在我每次取得胜利以后,我就会把自己交给自己的运气了,拿出赢利的10%,去拉slots!输了就输了，一旦中了个自我满意的奖,走人!"顺手牵羊"!呵呵
五,"以逸待劳"之计!
赌钱要对自己的赌本和资金情况事先做好管理和分配,我比较喜欢做一些不可取高红利的场子,既然红利可取,那赌场就不会轻易让你把红利取走的,所以我现在基本不做可取红利了,全做不可取的高红利,玩起来爽,赢的也爽,输不过一点而已,一般也就2,3百.如果存300送300的可取红利和存300送500的不可取红利让我选择,以前我会选1,现在我肯定选2.因为这样会让我有更大的空间去施展前面几计.
六,"趁火打劫"之计!
我喜欢用赢来的钱去赌,所以一旦感觉到形式明朗,那我会"趁火打劫"了,赢了10,我会上20,再赢上50,再赢上150......输不过10块而已 呵呵 不过怎么样能抓到这个形式,说是说不清楚的,必须要通过实践去取得经验,高手和非高手的区别就在于此,能够分析形式,抓住机会!
七,"隔岸观火"之计!
此计实用于轮盘和百家乐一类,可以在多人台上,或单人台用同时押红黑或庄闲来取得数据,"隔岸观火"或"坐山观虎斗"!关键时候采取必杀!然后继续观望,看准机会博几把!
总结:从大局出发,取得最终的胜利,不要计较每一局的输赢,不要计较一兵一卒的损伤,"舍不得孩子,套不住狼!" 这就是网赌和兵法的相通之处.
以上仅是个人观点,更确切的说应该是个人经验,仅供参考!不是必胜法则! 希望能给现在困难时间,处于困难和迷茫阶段的刀友们以启发与帮助!
PS:我的战绩,当然比不上高手们,我自我定位,只能站在网赌界的中游水平!我发这些图,说这些话,并不是为了炫耀什么,更没有其他目的,顶多说是分享一下我的心情,最主要的是放在这里让大家评判,给我激励!人做什么事都要有目标,我自己的优点就是自信!不服输!!别人可以做到的,我也可以做到!还要超越!学别人的长处,补自己的不足!这是我做人的准则. 现在我需要做的就是要学会理财了,为自己以后做个打算了,最起码通过网赌买套大房子,买个好车子!呵呵
信则信,不信则拉倒,走自己的路,让别人说去吧......
反正这个世界上,什么样的人都有,总会有一些跟我志同道合的朋友的,我在慢慢寻找......
我才22岁,年轻的很,有的是时间和空间!!我会向我下一阶段的目标冲刺!
我知道我是国内网赌界有争议的一个人，但是“授人鱼不如授人渔”！希望我这些话真正能给大家带来经济效益，而且是长期稳定的。。。




赌博技巧大全之攻守注法
　　经常在赌场里赌，输输赢赢是免不了的。输有小输和大输之分，承受不了小输，希望通过加大注码来报复赌场、改变局面，多半是小输变大输，因为大输往往就是在由于小输连输而加大赌注时发生；既然输是免不了的，我们宁愿接受小输，连输时决不加注，从而避免大输，“吃小亏是为了不吃大亏”。同样，赢也有小赢和大赢之分，如果小赢的时候由于担心加大注码而失去这小赢的利润，将很难尝到大赢的滋味，而大赢往往就是在小赢连赢的时候加大注码发生；赢也是必然要发生的，应该不仅仅停留于小赢，不因贪图小利而束缚了自己的手脚，一有机会就变小赢为大赢；在连赢时要敢于加注，尽量把握住大赢的机会，“不贪小利是为了追求大利”。
　　在连赢的时候，要敢于加注，犹如冲锋陷阵，该出手时就出手。不少人不敢在连赢时下大注，这是他们不能赢大钱的原因。赌场如战场，资金就是你的士兵，在赢钱的情况下才能从容地投入战斗。在连输的时候，要勇于减注，避实就虚。这也符合兵法的原则，胜兵先胜而后求战，败兵先败而后求胜，要“胜之而求战”，不能“战之而求胜”。
　　因此，对待输赢就有了两种截然不同的心态，一种是“赢不起输得起”。所谓“赢不起输得起”是指在赢的时候不敢加注，生怕把赢来的钱输掉，而在输的时候，往往反而敢于下注，越输赌注下得越大，想通过赢一次就把输掉的捞回来，这是小市民意识很重的一种下注法，往往是赢小钱输大钱，非常地不可取。另一种是 “赢得起输不起”，又称为“连赢要冲、连输要缩”。在赢的时候敢于下注，特别是在连赢的时候，赌注越下越大，在输时要谨慎下注，特别是在连输的时候，赌注越下越小，这种下注法往往是赢大钱输小钱，理解其中的道理之后，很容易被接受。要注意的是，这里的“输不起”是注码运用中的一种策略，前面“赌博十大戒律”中的“输不起”是输钱后的一种感觉。
　　从数学上来看，“连赢要冲、连输要缩”，或者是相反，二者并没有什么分别，差别在心理上。应用“连赢要冲、连输要缩” 的策略时没有什么心理压力，投注会很轻松；相反的投注法，由于在连输的时候已经损失了很多筹码，却还要加大注码冲，对普通人的心理压力较大，要求必须有足够的金钱承受能力。从卡尼曼的预期理论可以得出结论，在已经亏损的情况下，人们是一个风险追求者，而不是一个风险厌恶者，“输冲赢缩”是人们不自觉地应用的一种方法，有这种习惯的人对“连赢要冲、连输要缩”这种方法需要一个适应过程。不是想方设法的规避损失，而是要坦然地面对，这是“连赢要冲、连输要缩” 对待损失的态度。
　　考虑到算牌要求我们在正收益率时下大注，很自然就产生了一种把算牌和“连赢要冲连输要缩”思想结合起来，又容易掩饰大小注的赌博方法。

　　平常应以小注码投入,10元至25元之间皆可。每当收益率为正的机会来临，要以比平时大一倍的注额投注。两倍赌注时，如果输了且收益率为负，自然又下最小的基本注；如果输了但收益率仍然为正，还是以平时赌注的一倍投注；如果赢了但收益率变成0，可以既不加注也不减注；如果赢了而且收益率还是为正，可以把赢的筹码加在本金上，这样很轻松地赌注就到了平时的四倍。四倍赌注时，如果输了且收益率为负，自然就下最小的基本注；如果输了但收益率仍然为正，还是以平时赌注的一倍投注；如果赢了但收益率变成了0，可以既不加注也不减注；如果赢了而且收益率还是为正，有两种选择，一种是不把赢的筹码全部加上作为赌注，而是用部分赢的筹码作为增加的赌注，把赢的筹码收回来一部分；另一种是把赢的筹码加在本金上，这样很轻松地赌注就到了平时的八倍。以此类推。要注意在赌注已经加得很大，中间有任何一次失败而收益率仍然为正时，应该下所输赌注的一半或者2/3，只在突然连输时，才应该把赌注减得很小。这样，既可以把赌注很自然地下大，又可以避免收益率为正但庄家风头很盛时跟庄家硬拼造成大的损失。这种下注法把赌搏理论和赌博心理相结合，既不激进也不保守，攻中有守，守中有攻，攻守兼备，十分稳妥，是作者常用的下注法，可称之为攻守注法。攻守注法比较好地兼顾了正收益率原则和赌博心理学的方方面面，可操作性比较强，读者可根据自己的实际情况制定适合自己的攻守注法。

　　攻守注法是基于正收益率原则的一种赌博方法，其精髓在于“连赢要冲，连输要缩”。在赌资有限，因而对金钱的承受能力也有限的情况下，攻守注法是赌客克服人性的弱点、控制赌博中的风险、轻松面对强大的赌场的一种有效方法，不仅与数学有关，也和心理学有关。而注码法却是企图通过注码的变化来战胜赌场，往往要求越输越加注，不仅与概率无关，还不符合赌博心理学的要求。不可把攻守注法同与收益率的正负无关的注码法相混淆。






虽然赌骰仔的人，输钱容易赢钱难，但是心水清的人，也会有可能因此而揾过不少，假如有这等人的话，他们能够发达，并非在骨牌，或者点数方面赢取巨款，而是在大细方面赢钱的，至于他们能够赢得巨款，十居其九是采用孖宝割禾青的绝招。

所谓孖宝割禾青，就是以第一注的筹码投注孖宝赢了之后，抽出一半，去赌另外一口孖宝。看起来此方式十分简单，但是要连赢出五六口孖宝，那就不是简单的事了。故此，赌孖宝割禾青的人，每天只是赌一口孖宝而已，并非一口气连续不断地连赢五六口孖宝。

骰仔在稔大或者细的时候，真像神推鬼拉一样，开出来的点数，不是坐一，就是坐六，看起来中孖宝的机会非常之大。

在这种情况之下，还要加上一句［回门成迄角］，也就是说，开完几口大之后，开个小，再开大，然后才投注。

因为开完一口小，骰路稍为泄气，接开大，根据经验来说，开大的机会是非常大的，假若已经稔是五六口大，接所稔的大没有这么长，亦会有三四口之多，这种情况正符合赌孖宝的原则，赌孖宝割禾青，要等待的骰路就是这种情况了。

换言之，如果开了五六口大一口小之后，再开一口大，那是就是最好的投注机会，当然是投注大，赌投注一个孖宝便立即收手，等待明日同样的骰路再下注，假若没有这样的骰路，可以再等待，不急不及待地赌。

总而言之，每次投注一个孖宝即收起一半，将另外一半看作新的投注额。假设第一口骰的注码是十元，赢了孖宝后得四十元，收起一半，再投注一半，也就是以二十元开始投注，这样投注方式，连赢六口孖宝后，所得的斩获自然不菲，假如以一百元开始投注的话，其所赢的数字，后面可要加一个零字，其收获可观的程度，是可以计算而得知。

赌此方式的人，一定要看准似乎会有相当长的骰路然后才投注，不管这种骰路是单跳，或是两头停，又或者是稔长，落注一口，输了又再等待另一次，直到看准机会为止。任何一次如果看准了骰路，连赢六七口，那么连本带利也可以赢回来了。假如刚刚开始投注，已经赢了六七口的话，那天已经赢稳了，不用再赌下去。

如果计数的话，假设他输了十二口，到最后的一关，也就是每口下注四十元，如果就在这一口赢回六口之多，所输的只是二百八十元，以八十元一口投注，赢了六口，六八四十八，也就是赢回四百八十元，除输了的还有二百四十元的收入。

即使他以八十元投注，赢了四口不再下注，四八三十二，那天他输了二百八十元，那么尚有四十元的收入，专家们认为运气不会差至那样，十六次看准骰路才下注，仍然会全部输个清光。

直到现在，仍然有一部份人利用犹如赌缆的方式投注，专赌骰宝在赌桌上争取生活费，那些人必然是非常熟习各类的赌博，特别是对于骰宝方面更加有研究，一定会经过很长时间的推理及实习之后，故此，这一条似缆非缆的投注方式，仍然是职业赌徒赌骰仔的唯一出路。

至于缆本，仅以六百元作赌本，而他们投注的方式是采取平均发展的累进级数，成为赌缆而作投注，一共分作四级。

第一级是每一口投注十元，第二级是投注二十元，第三级是投注四十元，第四级是投注八十元，每一级都是赌四口，即第一级共四十元，第二级共八十元第三级一百六十元，第四级共三百二十元，加起来是六百元，六百元要输十六口才会输完。

骰宝机率

【小】：除了围骰，开出总和为4至10算赢钱，胜出率为48.61%，赔率一赔一，赌场优势为 2.78%。

【大】：除了围骰，开出总和为11至17算赢钱，胜出率为48.61%，赔率一赔一，赌场优势为2.78%。

【4点】：总和为4算赢钱，胜出率为1.39%，于葡京赔率1赔50，赌场优势为29.17%，国外赌场赔率为1赔60，赌场优势为15.28%。

【5点】：总和为5算赢钱，胜出率为2.78%，于葡京赔率1赔18，赌场优势为47.22%. 于国外赌场赔率为1赔30，赌场优势为13.89%。

玩轮盘的流行下注策略
轮盘介绍
所以选择轮盘为入门的原因在于，他的机率和赔率较好计算且比较稳定。
如出现红、黑、单、双的机率是18/38(略低于1/2)所以赔率是1比1
每6个数字一起押的机率是6/38(略低于1/6)所以赔率是1比5
出现每一个数字的机率都是公正的1/38
所以机率是比较稳定的，比起21点还有人为的判断因素来看
是比较适合当入门的赚钱游戏。
下面表格是美式轮盘不同投注方法的赢钱几率统计：
策略介绍
一、单双法
用1、2、4、8、16、32、…..的翻倍下注法，只要压对一次就能赚一刀，具体的压法是：首先在单双各压一刀，只要不出0，就不赚不赔，以后永远只压前次所出数字的反面，即前次出双本次压单，前次出但本次压双。每次从一刀起压，若不中，下次翻倍，若中了下次重新从一刀起压。
最幸福的轮盘赌当属何鴻燊博士的网上赌场了，可以在http://chinese.drholite.com/about/index.html下载（现在好象改了）。
















澳門行之賭聖


很久沒有進賭場，這回進賭場，發現廿一點的玩法有了一點改變，就是多了一項對子可買，買中對子是一賠十一（所謂對子即是一對相同的牌）。同時，樸克牌的博彩方式還多了一種叫加勒比樸克，可見我有多久沒有進過賭場了。加勒比樸克是每人派五隻牌的玩意兒，至於如何玩法，我看了大半個小時也摸不著頭腦。算了，賭博這門東西，還是別懂太多的好。
　　對於賭博，我最熟的是骰寶，其次是廿一點及百家樂，只是，後兩者我也有很多不明白的地方，而且由於這兩個博彩項目最低的投注額是一百元，一百元的注碼對於我來說已經是很大了，所以我從來不賭這兩項，而只賭骰寶。因為玩骰寶如果買大、小的話，有些賭檯最低的投注額是五十元，買點數的話更可以買二十元。所以，我愛向難度挑戰，專賭點數，貪其賠率較高，最少賠六倍，最大賠五十倍。以前每次進場，我會預備二十張二十元，那就可以賭二十舖，輸光就走，贏了幾百元也一樣走，決不貪心。不過，那已經是很多年前的事情了，連我也忘了有多久，該有十年以上了吧？原來今天舊葡京還剩下一張最低投注額五十元的骰寶賭檯，只是年初一晚上我進去的時候那張賭檯沒有人賭，所以沒有開局，三個荷官則站在那兒閒聊，因此無法過過癮。
　　重新踏足賭場，令我想起了「賭聖」－－我過去的一位同事（也即是在《癡情種》裡提及的那位同事）。
　　話說十五年前，有一段時間，我的同事阿國突然間意氣風發，每個星期一上班都會在我們面前展示一大疊的千元鈔票，而且每隔一、兩個星期就會很豪氣地請我們大吃一頓。這樣子維持了一段不短的時間，我們問他錢從何來？他說是從燊哥手上贏回來的，由於他說自己一直在贏錢，所以被賭檯上的女荷官封為「賭聖」，從此，我們也在背地裡稱他為「賭聖」，偶爾傳到他那兒，他聽了也會沾沾自喜，洋洋自得。
　　對於他能夠那麼輕易地、長期地在澳門贏錢，大家都有所懷疑，世上哪有必贏的秘方？如果有的話，賭場早就要關門啦。為了查出真相，我於是偷偷地過澳門去偷窺他如何贏錢。
　　由於他曾經說過他每次過澳門都是在星期六晚上，並且會在葡京的二樓賭，專賭廿一點，他說他一般會選擇於凌晨十二時「開工」，直至達到自己的目標就走，因此，我很輕易地就找到他。他的目標是每次贏兩萬元左右，所以，往往要磨一個通宵才能夠達到目標。
　　頭幾回，我是躲在他的身後看他賭，有時候我跑開了，回來不見了他。第二天回到公司，他又在展示他的「戰績」。有一回我忍不住問他怎麼昨晚凌晨四點鐘不見了他？他說目標已達，回去睡覺也。至此他才知道我在偷看他如何賭錢。於是，他約我一同過澳門，光明正大地看他如何賭。
　　原來，他的賭法主要分成兩部分－－投注的策略及博牌的技巧，先談前者。他的投注策略是「過三關」，每次預備了兩千元的注碼，每注一百元，分成二十注，中了一關就變成兩百，過第二關就變成四百，再過一關就變成八百，如果順利過了三關就再從一百元開始，永遠不博過四關。如果二十注本錢連一個三關也過不了，那就表示自己沒有運氣，就得乖乖地認輸離場。如果其間有任何一注過得了三關，就多了注碼賭下去，一直達到自己的目標就收手，這樣賭，輸了，頂多是兩千，贏了則是兩萬。
　　至於博牌的技巧則是；如果莊家的牌面是七點、公仔及「煙士」面，而自己的牌面是十二、三點的話，就投降。如果莊家的牌面是六點或以下，自己的牌面是十二點的話，那就不博牌，博莊家「爆」。這只是他博牌技巧其中的一些要點，還有很多技巧是要因應當時的情況而隨機應變，如果不是面對現場的情況是不容易說明白的。
　　為了證明他的策略可行，我不但看他賭，自己也親身與他同檯一起賭，為了減輕成本，我甚至跑到當時位於新馬路的金碧娛樂場去找五十元的賭檯來賭。只是，由於我沒有膽量，注碼一大我就心怯，加之未能掌握他的博牌技巧，結果還是輸了。有時候我與他同檯賭，他贏我還是輸。經過幾次的觀察，我親眼看著他如何贏錢，甚至有一次我們離開了葡京，在乘船回港之前到文華東方娛樂場一逛，看見一位婆婆輸了兩萬多，為了炫耀他的「賭聖」本領，他破例再出手叫那位婆婆跟著他賭。大概是那天他的運氣特別好吧，結果在一個多小時內，他由輸八千元倒贏了兩萬元，那位婆婆也反贏了四千元，大家高高興興地離開賭場。另外有一次，為了讓我三弟開開眼界，我帶著三弟去看他「表演」，在下船前的半個小時內他又在文華東方贏了四千多元。
　　經過多次親身的觀察，我證實他的確是在賭場贏錢。只是，我曾經告訴他，如果他能夠堅持自己的原則，一直維持一百元的注碼去賭，那麼他的贏面的確很高，只怕有朝一日他違背了自己的原則，注碼賭大了那就糟了。而且，經過我親身坐上賭檯的經驗，我告訴他運氣始終是最重要的。
　　由於我自己無法像他那樣在賭場贏錢，所以後來再也沒有跟他過大海，眼見他繼續贏錢，繼續意氣風發。據他說，幾個月下來，他已經贏了幾十萬。
　　可惜後來他認識了一位風塵女子，帶同她一起過澳門去賭。不知道是否因此而交了惡運，他似乎開始輸錢。有一回他回來告訴我，他有一舖牌因為要分牌的關係，被迫下注了八千元。我心想這回糟啦，他開始控制不了自己，違背了自己的原則，看來遲早要輸光的。果然不出我所料，不到一年的光景，他不但輸光了，而且還到處舉債度日，最後甚至失了蹤，從此於人間消失。
　　對於他的失敗，在他還沒有失蹤之前，有一回我遇見他，曾經問他為什麼會弄至如此田地，他說他的策略是沒有問題的，只是他在廿一點賭檯上辛辛苦苦贏來的錢，都讓那個女人在百家樂賭檯上輸光了,有一個晚上她就曾經輸掉他八萬元，所以，他不承認自己是失敗的，而是那個女人害了他。　當年他是如何在澳門贏錢，我是一清二楚的，只是至今還有很多朋友不相信，我也無法為他辯解，反正我心中有數就是了。
　　今天，新葡京又新增了五十元最低投注額的廿一點賭檯，不禁讓我心為之動，躍躍欲試，想用他的方法，以五十元為一注，預備十注的本錢去再作一次實驗，看看能否延續他當年的贏錢神話。
新手必读的网上骰宝博彩技巧
首先第一条切记：不可贪。
规则如下：押大小，大，小的概率各为50％，押大为大就赢你所下的赌注，否则就输掉了你的赌注。
　　因此必胜玩法如下：每次押大，比如每次押100，每次押大，赢了就重新押大，输了就翻倍，押200，赢了就再重新押100，输了接着翻倍，押400，一直如此。计算下来，每个轮回就刚好赢你下的赌注。
　　由于必胜，所以很多人就会赢了以后加大赌注，然后输了就按照加大的赌注翻倍，最后输光了赌本，还没赢回一个轮回。
　　所以，切记第二条，每个轮回（就是指上一次赢了之后的新一轮）的第一把之前，请确认你的赌本的多少，赌本为你赌注的128倍就绝对安全，64倍非常安全，32倍很危险，16倍必定输得精光。
　　由于骰宝的普通场最大只能押500000糊涂币，所以除以128，每次最大押3900，你最终就会赢。切记啊，每次最大只能押3900糊涂币，且前提是你的赌本必须是500000以上。否则，每次最大赌注必须是你的总赌本除以12（除64也可以，但不是绝对安全。）
　　如果你的赌本已经达到了128000000糊涂币以上可以申请VIP，每把最少押1000000糊涂币，体验一下豪赌的感觉吧。
　　http://www.nx688.com/Html/?15864.html

我是天天在赌场超过10个小时的赌客,别误会我并不是10小时都在赌,只是有时看别人赌,有时我半个小时就完成上午的任务(就是赢够数).我就看别人赌,认识的赌徒还真是不少,什么样的赌法都有,但是大胆的说没有一个可以长期赢钱,没有一个方法可以长期(请注意是长期.长期)使用在某个一倍一的赌游戏之中.一倍一的游戏都很难赢了,更别说是机会少于50%的高赔率赌戏了.
你问我有没有更好的方法对付赌场,哈哈，赌场是我的衣食父母,我们不应该想对付它,应该和它做朋友！
其实可以赢钱的方法就我个人来说最少10个你信不信？赌博并不是那么复杂的事情,只是人人把它复杂化了。想长期(还是长期)在赌场赢钱,最最困难的一个问题,是你问问自己,你战胜自己没有,你了解自己吗?为了和赌场做朋友，你做了什么工作,什么计划,你到了赌场里面,有没有严格依照计划行事呢,很多人输钱其实是输给自己,赌场没有坑你,没有骗你啊,是不是？
逢赌必赢的秘诀非常简单: 永远只赌一倍一的游戏，记住下面三个诀窍！
1=下注方法 2=注码法 3=时间观念 1+2+3=赢
下注方法
例如赌大小，你根据什么去下注，下一把是买大还是买小. 先定下下注方案，比如是只赌4把,4把内赢一把就行,只赌大, 大,小,小 ,这条路. 看见前面开出小,小,大,可以开始下注.为什么?因为前面3口你要是下注已经输了3把,现在 开始下注你已经在心理上占优势. 大,大,小,小 . 赢一把就停.4把不中也停. 方案你自己定,定下来就执行,就这么简单.不要管开出几点,只管大.小.不要让其它的因素影响你下一把的投注方向，.遇围骰算输,即停不追.

注码法
因为赌场的所有赌戏都是对赌客不利.(百家乐只买闲除外) 平注法无法保证长期在赌场赢利,只有适当加注才能战胜赌场设下的不公平游戏规则.在这里我只能说1.3.7.15和1.2.4.8.这种强攻自杀式的注码法还是少用为妙(除非特别原因),我只提供3种稳中求胜的注码法供你参考1.2.3.或者1.1.3.5和1.1.3.6这3种都是稳中求胜的.两赢一平或者2赢2平或者三赢一平,所用注码最多11注,哪怕断缆以后也容易追回来.切记切记.

时间关念
我发现网上的高手和专家很少谈及赌博的时间关念,有的只是不停的追求一些越来越高级的理论,数理化加五行八卦全都出来了,好像非要用一招一式就把赌场置于死地不可,省省吧,清醒吧,同志们!!!!1这个世界上没有一条必赢的方法也没有一条必输的程式,有的只有方法+注码+时间才有可能小胜赌场.一招半式不可能打赢赌场,组合拳也只能经常保持小胜.而且还容易受点小伤.这时有正确的时间关念,你就会发挥时间的威力,告诉自己慢慢来,不要着急 赌场24小时营业,你365天都可以报仇怕什么,慢慢追可以的,不要乱了自己的投注方法和投注脚步.断缆=受伤=输钱.但是这完全在我的意料之内,我在心里对~赌场~对骰子说:有本事再来一次,我不怕你的.我不会上你的当的,我不会乱加注,不会改变我的投注方案,我有的是时间,慢慢的赌,这个钱不但不会越赌越少,而是越来越多,时间就是金钱,好好的看待时间,尤其是在赌场里时间,在赌博时的时间,赢钱后的时间,最重要的是受伤后的时间,你需要的是养伤,而不是带伤还要跟赌场拼命,结果你可想而知,只有伤得更重而于,我希望每个想长期在赌场生存的赌客好好的看待时间....

以上是本人在赌场这几年来的一些心得，只希望能帮到一些经常赌运不佳的朋友.我以前也跟你们一样经常赌运不佳,这些年总算赌运转佳.
赌场~我的朋友~我的衣食父母~你多少年来一直不变.默默的迎接来自五湖四海人,你对每个人都是公平的.你一向是大公无私的.




轮盘高胜率玩法 理论已通过实践证明！！半个小时，筹码翻番！！必火！！
时间:2010-06-02 22:55来源:未知 作者:admin 点击: 520次
轮盘一直是历史最悠久的几大 赌场 游戏 之一，之前一直玩 百家乐 ，对轮盘只是好奇，并未参与，昨晚一时兴起，在某场子的轮盘中小玩2场，收获不错，给大家分享一下！ 轮盘的玩法有很多，压区域，压数字，压单双，压颜色，不同的压法，当然 赔率 也不一样。 昨天晚之前，观察了轮盘的玩法与规律以后，得出一个理论性必赢战法！这个方法类似百家乐的排列3缆法！ 经过实战，发现真的可以做到必赢（总的）！！但是，大家一样不要忘记一个大的规律，用100赢100，绝对比用1000赢100难的多， 建议 每次玩牌的止赢额为100%，

轮盘一直是历史最悠久的几大赌场游戏之一，之前一直玩百家乐，对轮盘只是好奇，并未参与，昨晚一时兴起，在某场子的轮盘中小玩2场，收获不错，给大家分享一下！

轮盘的玩法有很多，压区域，压数字，压单双，压颜色，不同的压法，当然赔率也不一样。

昨天晚之前，观察了轮盘的玩法与规律以后，得出一个理论性必赢战法！这个方法类似百家乐的排列3缆法！

经过实战，发现真的可以做到必赢（总的）！！但是，大家一样不要忘记一个大的规律，用100赢100，绝对比用1000赢100难的多，建议每次玩牌的止赢额为100%，止输额为50%！！！切忌情绪用事！！

我选择的玩法是压单双，赢则平压，输则倍压！单双的出率是50%！！很难会有连续5次都出单或都出双的现象，但是并不代表不会！所以，只要一旦连续出3次相同结果，就停止压注！观察2盘，再次以平压开始！！

这样不会大输，但是会一直连续小赢，且小赢的总数必大于输！！因为虽然会发生连续5次或5次以上都出单或出双的现象，但，连续2次都出现连出5个相同结果的概率却微乎其微！下面给大家举例说明：

前3局观察，不下注！每次下注观察近3次所出结果（但记住，参考是否有连续相同结果，如果有，参考上述解决方案，资金较为雄厚者，可将3次升级为4次！）

遇见 则压 遇见 则压

单2 双2

双1 双 单1 单
下图为昨晚下注测试的“路纸”大家参考，欢迎大家讨论！！半个小时，筹码翻番！！







艾尔德资金管理【推荐】
你做交易是为了赚钱还是寻求刺激？不用你告诉我，只要给我看你做的交易记录我就知道了．没有详实的记录？那么，这本身就是一个答案。如果你坚持做记录，那么你的资金曲线的倾斜度就会向你展示你所做交易的情况。大部分人进入市场是为了赚钱，但很快就失去了那个目标，转而去追逐一些私人版本的乐趣。交易游戏比玩单人纸牌有趣得多，它在你的梦中填满了财富和权力。人们交易是为了逃避无聊的生活或者是展示自己的聪明才智。做交易的神经质的原因同做交易的人一样多，但只有一个是现实的一一比零风险投资，如短期国库券（译注：美国财政部发行的一种短期债券，一年或少于一年到期，以票面价值打折的形式出售。）赚更多的钱。成功交易基于3个M：心态、方法和资金管理。心态（mind ）指的是交易心理，方法（Method ) 指的是市场分析，资金管理(Money ）指的是风险管理。这最后一个M 是成功的最关键因素。在你的资金管理过程中，必须要画出自己的资金曲线，它不仅会反映出你的心态，也会反映出你所用方法的质量。任何人在交易中可能都赚过钱．甚至在拉斯维加斯的娱乐场里，你也会连续听到中头奖的音乐声．硬币像水一样从老虎机里淌出来，引起一阵欢快的噪音，但有多少玩家回到自己的房间时会比去娱乐场时带得钱多呢？在市场中，几乎每个人都可以做一笔好交易，但很少有人的资金增长。资金管理就是管理你的交易资金的技能。有人把它叫做一种艺术，或者科学，得实际上它是两者的一个组合，科学在其中占主导地位。资金管理的目标是通过减少失败的交易中的亏损和最大化获胜的交易中的收益来累积资金。当你看到“行人”绿灯亮起后，穿越马路时，你仍然要左右看看是否有疯狂的司机不管信号灯的信号而逆行横冲过来。无论何时你的交易系统给出你一个交易信号，资金管理就象穿越时左右看看一样，即使最漂亮的交易系统也需要资金管理的保护才能使你持续获利。我曾经遇到父子二人为一组的成功的资金管理者。父亲在他的儿子十几岁时就开始培养他的商业才能。周末他常带他去赛马场，并给他10 美元，作为那天他的午餐和赌本。父亲整天都与朋友们在一起，他的儿子如果有问题可以过来问他，但不会再从这里得到额外的1 美元。他必须自己通过赌马来赚钱，如果还想吃午餐的话，就得管好自己的钱。研究障碍赛马（技术分析），管理自己的赛马资金（资金管理），并且等待最佳机会（心态），在儿子加入他的父亲管理套利基金后赢利了一百万倍。一个好的交易系统给了你一把在市场中战斗的利刃。要使用一个技术项目，在经过长期的系列试验后它提供了一个积极的期望值。经过长期系列的交易后，一个好的系统确保赢得胜过亏损。如果你的系统不能做到那一点，你需要资金管理，但如果你没有积极的期望，没有任何资金管理会从亏损中拯救你。例如，轮盘赌（译注：一种赌者打赌转动盘上旋转的小球将停止于盘上哪一个槽内的赌博游戏．）玩家是一种负的期望。有美国一个轮盘赌轮有38条淘槽，在欧洲有37 条，但在玩的时候只有36条，赌场“拥有”剩余的1 条或2 条。一个槽约占一个赌轮的2.7％，经过一段时间工后，赌场就在每改游戏中都占有高的胜率，慢慢地把玩家榨干．有一种原始的资金管理系统叫做加倍下注，开始时玩家下只下最小的赌注，通常是1 美元，在每次输掉后就加倍下注．干是在理论上，当他们逐渐赢的时候，他们就会赚回所有的损失加1 美元，然后重新以1 美元的赌注开始．加倍下注法在现实生活中不起作用，因为赌场限制了最大赌注。一旦你的损失达到那一限制，加倍下注法就彻底玩蛋了。另一方面，在二十一点游戏中，一个遵循一个测试过的策略，并且数牌的非常有纪律的玩家比娱乐场略占优势，约1 ％到2 % ，有时更高一些．这时，一个优秀的记牌手需要资金管理，在牌不好时下较小的注。而在牌好时加倍下注。一旦你有了一个正期望值的交易系统，你就必须设定资金管理规则。遵循这些规则，就好像你的生命是依靠它们一样，因为它们确实有效。当我们失败时，我们就如交易者般地死去。不管你损失的比率有多少，你都必须赚更多的钱来补偿。过去我常常带着一张汽车租赁代理商的收据来证明这一点。该收据注明收费70 美元，打折10 % ，税10 ％。那么底线是什么？如果你说是70 美元，那么请再读一遍上文．$ 70 一10 ％ 二63 ＄ 63＄＋10 % 二69.30＄。如果先减去10 % ，两加上10 % ，最后的结果就低于初始值。亏损就像跌进一个冰窟一一下滑是容易的，但很难再爬出来，因为冰窟的壁太光滑了。当一个交易者的帐户从10，000 美元下滑到6 , 600 美元时，会发生什么呢？他的帐户亏损了34％，而他必须再赢利50％才能重新回到10，000 美元，一个刚刚亏损掉三分之一本金的交易者，想要赚50 % ，可能吗？他处在一个冰窟的底部，他或者就此死去，或者重新投入资金．关键问题是他是否能从失败中吸取教训。市场像一个温柔的角斗士。在这战斗中，生命是用金钱来衡量的。每个人都在努力从你的身上掠夺金钱一一竞争对手、商家和经纪人．亏损很容易；但赚钱却很难。资金管理有两个目的：生存下去和获得成功。首先是生存，其次是努力保持稳定的收益，最后是获得巨大的增益。初学者一般都把这些优先顺序搞反了。他们直奔巨大的增益而去，从末考虑过怎样长期生存．把生存放在第一位，可以使你集中精力做好资金管理。严谨的交易者通常会把精力集中在损失最小化和资金积累上。我认识的最成功的交易者常说他害怕自己的结局是去开计程车。他的工程学学位已经过期，除市场之外他没有任何的工作经验，如果他在交易中彻底失败了，唯一的出路就是去开计程车，他已经赚了数百万美元，但仍然竭力避免亏损。他是我所认识的最有纪律的一个人。没有数学盲在现代社会中，你不用算术也可以很容易生。．我们中的大部分人很少做计算，都已经习惯干计算器和设备上的数字显示屏。如果你能在晚会上算出客人的总数，或者算出六层啤酒你喝了两杯后还剩几杯，那么你的状态就不错。没有任何数学知识也照样可以过活．但在市场中却不是那样。交易是一种数字游戏。如果你不会算术，你就不会交易。你不需要知道微积分或高等代数，但你必须熟悉基本的算术一一加、减、乘、除．另外，你需要计算百分比和分数，并且为了算得快一些，你需要知道四舍五入。当然，你还必须理解可能性的概念．这听起来可能很简单，但大部分初学者的算术水平之差和计算速度之漫却常会令我吃惊。所有优秀的交易者对于算术都很精通。他们沉着务实、反应敏捷，可以迅速计算风险、结果和机率。如果你是一个现代教育的产品，并且需要计算器来计算183.5减26.75 或者320的15 ％之类的结果，那又如何呢？你需要自学．你必须在数学方面训练自己．最简单的方法之一是当你去商店买东西时，口算应付的费用。估计一下总的费用。当你把钱递给收银员时，计算一下他或她会找给你多少钱。在自己的头脑中默算一下销售税。坚持练习，坚持走出现代社会客户不需要计算的安逸的外壳。读一两本有关可能性理论的书。有点麻烦吧？是的。要花一些时间吧？肯定要花时间。学习口算决不是一件有意思的事情，但它可以帮助你在交易中成功。通道有多宽？距你的止损点和获利目标之比的距离之比是多少？如果你不想拿自己帐户的l ％去冒险，且止损点距当前价位1 .25 点，那么你应该买多少股？这些以及其它类似的问题就是成功交易的关键所在。能够飞速地回答这些问题，将使你获得一个位于无数业余交易者人群之上的优势。商人的风险与亏损还记得我们前面讲过的一个例子吗？一个拥有一个水果和蔬菜摊位的小商人，每天能卖几框果蔬。而如果他的批发商供给他一框新鲜的珍奇水果呢？他可能会因此赚钱，但如果当地人不喜欢那种水果以至于那框水果全部坏掉的话，一框水果不会对他的买卖造成很大的伤害。那是一种正常的商业风险。现在想象一下，他以极低的价格买了一拖拉机那种水果。如果他把它们都卖掉了，他就可以大赚一笔，但如果没有卖掉而是坏掉了，就会严重伤害到他的生意，可能使他无法做下去了。一框代表着一个可以接受的风险，但一拖拉机就是一个致命的风险。商人的风险和亏损之间的差别是它们相对干帐户的大小。一个商人的风险把你置于正常的资金波动中，但一个亏损会威胁到你的成功与生存．你必须在二者之间画一条线，永远不要跨过那条线。画那条线是资金管理的一项关键任务。无论你什么时候买进一只股票并在下面设置一个止损，你都要限制每股的风险值。资全管理规则作为一个整体限制你在任意交易中总风险，使你的帐户中只有比例很小的一部分处十风险中．如果你知道每笔交易，以及每股或每张合约你的最大允许风险，那么计算你应该交易多少股或多少张合约就是一个简单的算术问题了。资金管理规则对于你的生存和成功都是必要的。很少有交易者能够严格遵守它们。在读一本书时，诺言是很好容易许诺的，但等你一坐在屏幕前就不一样了。“这次不同，这是富余的资金，我要给这次交易一点额外的空间。”市场引诱交易者们打破自己的规则。你会遵守自己的规则吗？最近我受邀在一改资金管理者集会上做一个市场心理小组的主持．我的一个小组成员管理的资金接近十亿美元．他是一个中年人，从20 多岁时开始经商，从学校毕业后就在一个海洋咨询公司工作．厌倦了自己的工作以后，他设计了一个交易系统。但当时没有足够的资金交易，因为那最少需要200，000 美元。“我不得不去找别人，”他说，“向他们借些钱．我向他们解释我要做什么，一旦他们把钱给我，我就坚持遵守我的系统。偏离它就是非常不合理的．我的贫困帮助了我。”贫困和诚实。如果你想交易，就必须承担风险。一个会为一毛钱的盈亏而揣揣不安的交易者，因太过拘谨而不能下单。虽然你要接受风险，但不要接受亏损。亏损的定义是什么呢？亏损是对百分比规则（2 ％和6 ％规则）的违反。市场淘汰交易者的方式有两种。如果你的本金是你的生命，市场可能像鲨鱼一样一口把它吞掉，只一次惨重的损失就可以把你淘汰出局。市场也可能像食人鱼一样一口一口地把你咬死，每一口可能都不致命，但一直咬下去就会使你成为一堆白骨。下面两种资金管理规则就是用来帮助你防范“鲨鱼”和“食人鱼”的 2 ％规则― 防范“鳖鱼” 难以控制的亏损就像大多数帐户中伸出的触之即痛的手指。交易者在浏览他们的交易记录时，常常会发现是一次可怕的亏损或一小串恶性亏损对他们造成了最大的伤害。要是他们抢先止损，他们的帐户底线会高得多。交易者们梦想获利，但当一次输掉的交易击中他们时，往往就不知所措了。他们需要规则来提醒自己何时应该跳出失利的交易，而不是盲目地等待和祈祷市场反转。仅有好的市场分析，也不能使你成为赢家。寻找好交易的能力并不能保证成功。大量的研究不一定会给你带来任何利润，除非你可以保护自己不受“鲨鱼”的突袭。我曾经看过交易者同时做了20 、3 0，甚至50 笔可能获利的交易，但仍以亏损告终。当你连续赢利时，还容易认为自己已经了解了这种游戏然后，一次惨重的亏损扫光了你所有的利润，瓦解了你的帐户。你需要可以击退“鳖鱼”的有效的资金管理。从长远来看，一套优秀的系统会给你带来一定的优势，但市场中充满了大量的随机性，任何单次交易的成败都是难以预料的。优秀的交易者期待在年底时获利，但问他在下一次交易时是否会赚钱，他会诚实地回答：不知道。他利用止损来防止亏损的交易，避免伤害到自己的帐户。技术分析帮助你决定在何处止损，以眼制你每股的损失。资金管理规则帮助你保护整个帐户．一个最重要的规则是每次交易的损失限制到只占你帐户的一小部分。限制任何交易的损失在你的交易帐户净资金的2 ％之内。2％规则仅指你的交易帐户。它不包括你的存款、家中的财产、退休金帐户，或者圣诞储蓄（译者注：一种银行存折，为圣诞购物而淮备的定期储蓄）。你的交易资本指的是决定用于交易的资金。这是你真正的风险资金，你在交易公司的净股本。它包括帐户中的现金和现金利益，以及今天所有开放头寸的市场价值。你的系统应该为你赚钱，而2％规则让你不可避免的损失中幸存。假设你的交易帐户为50，000 美元。你想买XYZ 股票，当前市价为20 美元。你的获利目标是26 美元，止损设在18 美元。那么你可以买多少股XYZ呢？50，000 美元的2 ％是1，000美元，亦即你可以接受的最大风险。在20 美元买进，并在18美元设置止损，那么你的每股风险为2 美元。用最大可接受风险除以每股风险，就得到你可以购买的股数。1，000 美元除以2 美元，结果为500 股。这就是理论上的最大股数。实际上，那个数目应该更低一些，因为你必须支付佣金和准备应付滑移价差的影响，所以这些费用加起来都不得超过2 ％的限制。于是400 股，而不是500 股，就是你的交易上限。我已经注意到人们对2 ％规则的反应，有一个非常奇怪的差别。可怜的初学者认为这个数字太小。在最近一次研习会上，有人问我对于小帐户来说，2 ％规则是不是可以涨一点。我回答说，当他去蹦极的时候，延长绳子没有什么好处。专家们的反应则相反，他们常说2 ％太高了，他们努力使风险更低一些。一位非常成功的套利基金管理者最近告诉我，他计划在接下来的六个月中增加他的交易金额。他从未在单次交易中使风险超过净资金的0．5 ％一一而现在自己学着把风险比例上升到1 % 。优秀的交易者安于2 ％限制之下。虽然对此业余交易者和专家的意见相反，但你知道该选择哪一方。尽量使风险低于2 ％一一那就是最高风险。无论何时进行交易，都要检查整批或单张合约上的逻辑止损是否满足2 ％规则。如果那次交易要求有更高的风险，那么就放弃交易。在每月l 号，都要检查你的帐户净资金。如果起始月时你的帐户中有100，000 美元，那么2 ％规则允许你每次交易冒2， 000 美元的风险。如果上月获利，净资金上升到105，000 美元，那么在下个月你的2 ％限制将是多少钱？快点回答｛记住，要做一名优秀的交易员，算术能力一定要好！如果你的帐户中有105 , 000 美元，2 ％规则将允许你冒2 , 100 美元的风险，可以交易稍多一点的金额。反之，如果你上月亏损，净资金降到95，000 美元，2 ％规则将限制你在下月交易中所冒风险的金额为1 , 900 美元。当你表现优异时，2％规则允许你扩大自己的交易金额，而当你表现欠佳时，它会强制你减少交易金额，这使得你的交易金额与自己的表现联系在一起。如果你有好几个交易帐户时该怎么做呢？比如，你有一个帐户做股票，另一个帐户做期货。在那种情况下，要在操作每个账户中分别使用2％规则。期货选择表想象一下有两个交易者，兔子先生和乌龟先生，各有一个50，000 美元的帐户，他们正在观察两个期货市场一一s&p和玉米。机敏的兔子先生注意到s&p 的平均日价格区间约5 点，每份合约的价格为250 美元。玉米的平均日价格区间为5 美分，每份合约为50 美元．他很快就得出结论。如果他只能抓住日价格区间的一半，那么在S&P中每份合约可以赚500 美元，而使用同样水平的技巧，在玉米中只能赚100 美元多一点。兔子先生打电话给他的经纪人，要求买两份S&P。但谨慎的乌龟先生却有着不同的算法。首先，他使用2 ％规则计算出自己帐户的最大可承受风险资金1 ，000 美元．在S&P中，使用这样一个小帐户，一天只动用1 ，000 美元，就像去抓一只个头非常大，但尾巴非常短的老虎一样。另一方面，如果他交易玉米，他就有更大的生存能力．那只老虎要小一些，而且有一条可以缠在腰上的长尾巴。乌龟先生买了一份王米的合约。那么在兔子先生和乌龟先生中，谁最终将取得胜利呢？在期货市场中先哲期货时，比较一下你的资金和近期的市场波动水平。首先计算出你的账户资金的2％。使用安全区域指标度量波动水平，计算出其22日ema，并将结果化为美元。如果平均波动水平高干你帐户资金的1 % ，就不要交易那只期货。如果你遵守这条规则，你所选择的市场相对来说是比较稳定的，可以比较安全地设置止损。为什么是1 % ，而不早2％呢？因为在市场中，你的2％止损必须大于平均波动水平。表7 . 1 的第一列是期货市场，第二列是每份合约的价格，第三列是当前的安全区域（safezone) 指标，第四列是用安全区域指标乘以2 所得结果。第五列是帐户资金的2 % ，此处帐户资金为30，000美元。最后一列比较两倍的安全区域指标与帐户资金的2 % 。如果后者大于前者，那个市场就适合交易。表7 . 1 中的数据，在我写入时是当前值，因为波动性和安全区域指标都在不断变化，所以你在使用时，必须每月更新交易所有时会修改合约，并更改每份合约的价格。这个表格只是作为一个例子。供你开始先哲期货时参考。使用时改为最新数据，并找出那些期货适合你交易。如果你没有足够的资金交易那只期货，你仍然可以下载它，并做好准备工作，并进行模拟交易，就像真实的交易一样。这样，当你的帐户足够大或那只期货变得足够平静时，就可以很有准备地进入交易了。 6％规则― 防范食人鱼令我不解的是，为什么公共机构的交易员小组的表现比私人交易者要好那么多。私人交易者一般都是50 岁左右，已婚，大学毕业，通常是某一方面的专家，或者有自己的公司。你可以仔细思考一下，为什么那些精通计算机、整天读书的人们会围着25 岁左右，在大学时经常玩球，毕业后就再没读过书的人们团团转。实际上，大多数私人交易者的交易寿命是以月为度量单位的，而公共机构的交易员却年复一年为他们的公司赚进大笔的钱．是因为他们反应敏捷吗？不对，年轻的私人交易者也像年龄大的一样被淘汰。要不就是因为公共机构的交易员有大量的培训机会，但事实上大多数公司都吝音得很。一些公共机构的交易员，在为公司赚了一大笔钱以后，就想自己出去单干。他们退出公司后，在同样的市场，用同样的交易系统交易，并与他们的同行保持密切联系一一等待他们的却是失败。几个月后，大部分“牛仔”们又回到猎头公司去做交易员了。为什么他们能为公司赚钱，却不能为自己赚钱呢？当一个公共机构的交易员辞职以后，就离开了那个掌握他的纪律和风险控制的经理。那个经理为每个交易员的每笔交易设定最大风险这类似于私人交易者的2 ％规则。投资公司资金雄厚，其风险上限金额如果以美元计的话非常大，但占总资本的百分比却很小。如果交易员越过那个上限，则将被辞退。私人交易者可以打破2 ％规则，并自欺欺人地隐瞒起来，但投资公司的经理却像老鹰一样一直盯着他的交易员们。私人交易者可以把定单确认条扔进鞋盒里，但交易经理很快就会把那些容易冲动的交易员辞退，他使公共机构的交易员免受重大亏损，而正是这种重大亏损使得许多私人帐户破产另外，交易经理还为每个交易员设置了月最大允许亏损额。当某个交易员的亏损达到那一水平时，在那个月的剩余时间里，会暂时取消他的交易权利。我们总在不停地绕圈，有时我们与市场之间非常和偕，有种点石成金的感觉。而有时我们却与市场不同步，所过之处都是障碍重重。你可能认为自己是正确的，但当你持续亏损时，就是市场在以其独特的方式说你是错误的。大多数私人交易者在持有正在亏损的头寸时，竭力想打成平局。输家认为一笔成功交易即将来临，他就要时来运转了。他不断增加交易次数，不断增加交易金额，其实是在自掘坟墓。明智的做法应该是减小交易金额，并停下来检查一下自己的系统。交易经理在其交易员达到月最大亏损额时会强迫他们退出交易。想象一下，在一间办公室里，同事们都在不停地交易，而你却在削铅笔，然后跑出去找沙纸。交易员们竭力避免出现那种情况。这种工作环境的压力激励他们不要亏损。我的一个朋友曾在伦敦管理过一个交易部门，其中有一个非常精明能干的女交易员。有时，她也会碰上一个亏损的头寸，不到月中便接近她的亏损上限。我的朋友知道自己必须取消她的交易权利，但由她非常敏感，所以我的朋友不想伤害她的感情。他在华盛顿找到一个财务管理的课程，然后派她去学习，以渡过那个月中剩下的日子。大多数经理都不会那么温和。不管是温和还是粗暴，月亏损限制都使交易员们免受食人鱼的威胁一一一连串恶性的亏损加起来将是致命的。食人鱼是一种热带的淡水鱼，比人的手稍大一点但有一排整齐的牙齿。它看起来并不可怕，但如果有一只狗、一个人或一只猴子失足掉进河里，一排食人鱼就会过来攻击它，不停地咬食，直到受害者粉身碎骨。一个看涨者可能会掉到河里，受到食人鱼的攻击，几分钟后就会看到他的古搂在水中映出的亮光了，交易者用2 ％规则抵挡鲨鱼的攻击，还必须用6％规则来保护自己，不受食人鱼的蚕食。只要你的帐户资余比卜月结束时下降到6 % ，这个月的剩余时间就停止交易。每天都要计算的资金，包括你帐户中的现金，现金等价物和所有未了结头寸的当前市值。只要你的资本亏损额接近上月最后一天资本的6 % ，就立即停止交易。了结所有那些已经打开的头寸，并在场外度过那个月中剩余的时间。继续监视市场，跟踪你喜欢的股票和指标，如果你愿意的话，可以做些模拟交易。重新审视你的交易系统。这次失利是一次意外，还是你的系统本身有缺陷？那些离开公司的交易员知道如何交易，但他们的纪律你外部的，不是内部的．没有他们的经理在场，他们很快就在交易中亏损。私人交易者没有经理。这就是为什么你需要有自己的纪律系统的原因。2％规则将使你免受致命亏损的影响，而6 ％规则将帮你逃脱一连串的亏损。6 ％规则强制你做大部分人不能自觉去做的事情一一停止亏损的头寸。把6 ％规则和2 ％规则联合起来使用，就像你有了自己的交易经理一样。让我们看一个使用这些规则交易例子。为了简单起见，我们假设每次交易我们的风险资金都占帐户资本的2 % , 虽然实际上我们会努力减少风险。在月末，某交易者计算他的资本，发现他有100，000 美元，而且没有未了结的头寸。他写下自己的最大风险数额，以备下月使用：对每笔交易来说，是2 ％或2 ，000 美元，对总帐户来说，是6 ％或6 , 000 美元。几天后，那个交易者发现一只极具吸引力的股票A ，并计划在何处设置止损，然后买了一个头寸，将2 ，000 美元或总资本的2 ％作为风险资金。几天以后，他又盯上了股票B ，并做了一笔类似的交易，使另外的2，000 美元处于风险之中。快到周末时，他又看好股票c 并买进，又使2 ，000印美元处干风险之中。下周，他看到了股票D ，它比前三只股票中任何一只都更具吸引力。他应该买进吗？不，因为他的帐户已经有6 ％处于风险中了。他已经建立了三个头寸，每一个的风险为2 % ，也就是说如果市场对他不利的话，他将亏损6％。此时，6 ％规则禁止他再继续冒险。几天后，股票A 反弹，交易者把止损位移动到无亏损位之上．几天前不允许交易的股票D , 现在看起仍旧很迷人。现在是否可以买进呢？是的，可以，因为目前他的风险只占帐户资本的4 % 。股票b 和股票c 的风险均为2 % ，而由于止损位已经高于无亏损位，所以股票人已经处于零风险状态．交易者买进股票D ，使又一个2. 000 美元或2 ％处于风险之中。在那一周的晚些时候，交易者发现了股票E ，看起来绝对是个牛市。他应该买进吗？按6 ％规则，不应该买进，因为在股票B 、C 和D （在股票A 中，它的本金已经不承担任何风险）中，他的帐户已经有6 ％处于风险之中他必须放弃股票E. 几天后股票B 下跌，引发其止损．股票E 看起来仍旧迷人．他应该买进吗？不，因为在股票B 上，他已经亏损了2 % ，在股票C 和D 中，还有4 ％暴露于风险之中，此时增加任一个头寸，都会使他本月的帐户风险金额超过6 % 。 6 ％规则使你免受食人鱼的伤害。当它们开始咬你时，从水中出来，不要让那些凶残的家伙漫漫把你咬死。如果你每笔交易所冒风险少于2 ％的话，你可能同时有多于3 个的头寸。如果你的风险只占帐户本金的l % ，在达到6 ％限制前，你可以建立6 个头寸。6 ％规则保护你的本金。其点是上月你的账户本金，不要把本月所得利润加入其中。如果你在上月获利颇丰，那你进入下一月时，就必须重新设置你的止损和交易尺寸，以使任一笔交易的风险金额不超过新本金的2 % ，使所有打开的交易的总风险不超过新本金的6 % 。 当你交易顺利，帐户本金在月底有所上升时，6 ％规则允许你在下月交易更大的尺寸。如果你表现不佳，它将减少你下月的交易尺寸。当你连续获利时，6 ％规则鼓励你增加交易尺寸，当出现连续亏损时，6％将使你停止交易。如果市场走势对你有利，你就把止损移动到不亏损位之上，然后建立更多的头寸．如果你的股票或期货开始对你不利并引发止损，你将会亏损掉当月最大允许亏损额，并停止，保护你的大部分账户。以继续下个月的交易。 2 ％规则和6 ％规则为金字塔式累加头寸提供了指导准则一一增加正在赢利的头寸。如果你买入一支股票后，它开始上涨，然后你把止损移动到高于不亏损位，只要新头寸上的风险不超过帐户本金的2 % ，而且总帐户风险小于6 % ，那么你就可以买进更多的同一只股票。每一次累进都要作为一次单独的交易。大部分交易者的情绪处于不断波动状态，在高点时得意洋洋，在低点时郁闷沮丧．如果你想成为一名纪律化交易者，2 ％和6％规则将使意的意愿转换为更安全交易的现实。头寸的大小几年前，一个本地股票交易公司的老板，要求我给他的交易员做一次心理学培训。当他们听说一个精神病专家要来的时候，都感到很震惊，大声抗议说，“我们没有疯。”只是当经理告诉那些家伙们必须参加一一否则离开时，他们才安静下来。一旦我们开始接触，并集中干心理学和资金管理时，结果就大不一样了。六个星期以后，我们有了第二组等候批准的申请人名单。那家公司使用一套专用的日内交易系统．那套系统非常棒，两个最好的交易员每月可以使公司进帐超过1 百万美元。其余的交易员也使用同一套系统，但赚得少些，只有少数几个亏损。在我们的第一次讲习会上，一个交易者抱怨说他在过去的13 天中连续亏损。他的经理也在场，确认他是按照公司的系统交易的，但什么钱都没赚到。首先我是这样说的：我要向那些连续亏损了13天，还有勇气在改日上午继续交易的交易员们脱帽致敬。然后，我问他交易了多少股，因为公司为每位交易员设置了一个上限。他被允许一改交易700 股，但由于连续亏损，所以自原降为500 股。我告诉他要降到100 股，直到他在连续两个星期中获利的日子比亏损的日子多，并且总的为赢利时为止．一旦他克服了那个障碍，他可以交易200 股。然后，等另外一个两星期的可获利时期过去后，它可以交易300 股，依次类推。每经过两星期的可获利交易，他就被允许多交易100股。如果他有一个星期是亏损的，就不得不下降一级，直到再出现连续两个星期获利。换句话说，他不得不从小尺寸做起，慢慢增加，如果出现问题就尽快减小交易尺寸。那个交易员大声抗议，100 股太少了，那样他什么钱都赚不到．我告诉他不要自己骗自己了，因为较大的交易尺寸也不会使他赚钱，他勉强开始接受我的建议。一周以后，当我们再次碰面时，他报告说他在五天中已经有四天获利，并且总体是获利的。因为他的交易尺寸非常小，所以他只赚了一点钱，但他已经胜过那个游戏了。他在接下来的一个星期里继续赚钱，然后交易尺寸上升到2 00股。在我们的下一次讲习会上他问我，“你认为那是心理问题吗？”学员们哄堂大笑。为什么一个交易者在交易500 股时亏损，在交易100股时却赚钱呢？我从口袋里拿出一线10 美元的钞票，然后问是否有人愿意得到它，他只要爬上会议室里细长的桌子，然后从一头走到另一头，那张钞票就是他的了。有几个人举起手来。等一下，我说，我有一个更好的主意。谁只要和我一起到我们这幢10 层办公大楼的楼顶，然后用一块和这张桌子一样宽的木板横跨大街走到另一幢10 层大楼的楼顶上去，我就给他1000 美元现金，没有人举手了。我开始鼓励他们。那块木板将同我们的会议桌一样宽，一样结实，我们将在无风的日子进行，然后我当场支付1000 美元。那与走过会议桌的需要的技术差不多，但报酬却要高得多。“仍然没有人响应．为什么呢？因为如果你在会议桌上失去平衡，只需要跳下两英尺的高度就可以落在地毯上。但如果你在两幢大楼的楼顶失去平衡，你就会跌到沥青路上摔个粉身碎骨。当风险级别上升时，我们的表现能力却会下降。初学者往往在小金额交易时赚钱。那使他们获得了一点经验和信心，增加他们的交易尺寸一一开始亏损．他们的系统没有改变，但较大的尺寸使他们有一点失去信心，思维也不再那么敏捷。大部分初学者急于赚大钱，但是欲速却不达。过度交易，尤其是指交易对你来说太大的尺寸。可怜的期货交易者寻找保证金最低的经纪人。如果黄金的最低保证金是2，000 美元，那个帐户中有10 ，000 美元的雄心勃勃的交易者可能会买进5 份合约。每份100盎司黄金，只要黄金价格波动1 美元，他的帐户就波动500 美元．如果黄金市场向不利于他的方向发展，他就彻底完蛋了。如果黄金走势对他有利，他就开始相信自己已经发现了一条赚钱的金光大道，继续进行毫不顾及后果的交易，在下次交易中以破产告终。那此道德恶劣的经纪人却鼓励过度交易，因为那会使他们赚到一大笔佣金。一些美国之外的股票经纪人，提供了一种10 ： 1 的“承担”，你只要垫付1 美元，就可以买价值10 美元的股票。一些货币交易所提供100 : 1 的“承担”。当一个带着水下呼吸器的潜水员从船上跳入水中时，有一个叫做“章鱼”的装置接在氧气瓶上。那套装置包括几条管子，一条伸到他的嘴部，一条伸到他的潜水衣中，还有一条伸到一个仪表中，指示他的氧气瓶中还剩下多少氧气。如果气压降得太低，他就没有足够的氧气回到水面，这就是为什么潜水对于未培训的人和脾气暴躁的人是一种致命的运动的原因。进行一笔交易，就像去寻找宝藏．在海洋底部的岩石下面埋着黄金．当你挖掘的时候，记住不时看一下你的气压，在保证活命的情况下，你可以挖到多少黄金呢？海洋底部到处都是发现了巨大机会的潜水者们的遗骸。专业潜水者首先考虑的是剩余的氧气量。如果今天他没有挖到黄金，明夭可以继续来挖．他所要做的只是保存生命，然后再次回来潜水。初学者却因氧气耗尽而自己杀死了自己。海底免费黄金的诱惑真是太强烈了。免费的黄金！这让我想起了一句俄罗斯名言一一世界上唯一免费的东西就是老鼠夹子中的奶酪非洲一些部落抓猴子的方法是把一些美昧的食物放进一个细颈的罐子里，然后把罐子拴在地上的一个树桩上。猴子把手伸进一个罐子里，抓住了一块食物，但却拿不出来，因为只有空手才能通过罐子那狭窄的颈部。当猎人过来抓它的时候，猴子还在紧紧抓着罐子里的诱饵。猴子因为贪婪，抓住以后就不想松手，而最终落入猎人之手。当你试图进行一大笔没有止损的交易时，想想这个故事。专业交易有需要很强的资金管理技能。所有成功交易者的幸存和成功都要感谢他们的纪律。2 ％规则将帮助你防范鲨鱼，6 ％规则将帮助你防范食人鱼。然后，如果你有一个中等水平的交易系统，你就已经超前那个游戏很多了。过度交易一一进行对你来说金额太大的交易一一是一种致命的错误。初学者迫不及待地要赚钱，而严谨的交易者开始时却先要度量一下风险。如果你以小金额开始交易，并集中精力搞好交易质量，那么你很快就会有大的进步。一旦你已经熟悉了怎样交易一一寻找交易、入场、设置止损和获利目标、出场一一你就可以逐渐增加你的交易尺寸，使你的帐户开始为你产生可观的收入。一位新来的交易者最近来看我，他是一位42 岁的商人，已经因激烈的竞争而疲惫不堪．他的妻子继续经营他们的生意，而他却把全部时间和精力都在交易市场中。他一直是不亏不盈，每次交易100 股到1000股不等。他常常是在连续几笔小额交易中赚些钱，然后就在一次大额交易中都亏掉了。我告诉他，他已经领先于那个游戏了，因为他不像大部分初学者，他没有亏损。然后，我给他开了一份标准“处方”一一开始时交易100 股，最小的股票交易单位，直到出现一个“获利周期”一一赢的次数多，亏的次数少，而且总体上是获利的为止。一个获利周期，对干日内交易者来说是两个星期，对于长期波动交易者来说是两个月，一旦你有了一个获利周期，那么就从100 股提升到交易200股．经过另一个获利周期以后，开始交易300 股。如果你有一个亏损的半周期（对日内交易者为1 个星期，对波动交易者为1 个月），那么就回到前一交易尺寸，重新开始。如果你交易期货，就用气份合约”替换“100 股”．缓漫前进，快速退后。在拉尔夫? 文斯的开创性著作《 证券管理公式》中，他引入了最佳f 的概念。最佳f 指的是，为了长期收益最大化，你的帐户中在任一交易中的最佳风险金额。那本书需要较多的数学知识，但概括起来主要有以下几个概念：每笔交易都有一个最佳f ；如果你交易少了，风险性在数学概率上下降了，而利润也呈几何级数下降；如果你的交易尺寸一直比最佳f 多，那么你注定破产。最佳f 在每次交易都不一样，所以很难计算．从长期来看，它提供了最高的回报率，但它也会引起恶性的下降，可能会超过帐户的90％。谁会那么顽强地使用一个使自己的帐户由100 , 000 美元缩为9 , 000 美元的系统继续交易？最佳f 的主要价值仅在于它提醒我们如果我们交易尺寸太大，我们会毁掉自己的帐户．如果你越过最佳f 标志的区域，你将进入“雷区”．离雷区远一点，交易尺寸要小于最佳f 。初学者在计算获利时，往往会本末倒置。把那种方式反过来，首先计算风险．问一下自己，按照2％和6％规则，什么是你的最大允许风险。下面是正确的资金管理步骤： 1 在每月1 号度量自己的帐户值一一总现金、现金等价物和来了结的头寸。 2 算出你的帐户本金的2 % 。这是你任何一笙交易可以冒的风险。 3 算出你的帐户本金的6％，这是你任意一月允许承担的总风险，当亏损达到这一数值时，你必须了结所有的交易，在那一月的剩余时间内停止交易。 4 对于每一笔交易，决定于你的入场点和止损点：把每股或每口合约的风险额表示为美元的形式。 5，把本的2％除以每股或每口的风险，所得结果就是你可以交易的股数。如果需要取整，就把小数舍去。 6 计算所有未了结头寸的风险，用入场点与目前止损间的价差乘以股数。如果总风险为你账户的4％或更少，你可以建立另一个头寸，你可以在进行一笔风险额为2％的交易，使总风险达到6 % 。记住一点，不必使每笔交易的风险都是25 ，如果你愿意的话，可以使风险少一些。 7 只有在符合上述所有条件的情况下，才进行交易。交易尺寸的大小，决定于你可以承担的风险金额，而不是决定于你要赚多少钱。遵循2 % 和6 ％规则。如果有一个月大部分交易都非常顺利，你应该移动止损越过不亏损线，可以再增加一些头寸。你甚至可以增加保证金。这种资金管理系统的迷人之处在于，当你表现下降时，它会切断你的亏损，而当你表现很棒时，它会你开足马力前讲。在每个月的1 号，如果你没有未了结的头寸，2 ％和6 ％金额很容易计算。如果在1 号时有一些来了结的头寸，就要计算你的帐户本金一一以最新市价计算出所有来了结帐户的价值加上所有现金或货币市场基金。根据那些数值计算出2 ％和6％金额。如果你在一些未了结的交易中已经把止损设得高于不亏损线，你就没有本金风险，可以寻找新的交易。如果你的止损尚未达到不亏损线，求出所承担风险占你本金的百分比，然后从6 ％中减去它。一旦你从6 ％中扣除那个数。由所得结果就可以知道你是否可以进行新的交易。 如果你同时交易期货、股票和期权，怎样应用2 ％和6 ％规则呢？首要问题是，一个初学者应该集中精力做单一的市场。只有当你获得成功后，才可以把资金分散到各种市场。如果你交易多个市场，帐户一定要分开，然后把每个帐户作为一个独立的交易单位．例如，如果你在股票市场中有60，000 美元，在期货市场中有40 , 000 美元，计算60 , 000 美元的2 ％和6 % ，并把它们用于股票市场，然后计算4 0，000 美元的2 ％和6 % ，并把它们用干期货市场。如果你有多个帐户。按它们的规模分配与交易相关的费用。记住，为了在市场中获胜，你的交易系统和资金管理系统必须都非常优秀。





Money Management for Roulette Players
Casino players always talk about bankroll, and it is easy to see why this topic is important. It tells an individual how far he could go betting at a particular game such as roulette. This is especially useful for individuals who are out on a well-deserved vacation.
Some vacationers will allot a portion of the budget to gambling, so it is important to see how far you are willing to go with your money. There are also players who simply love having a game of roulette every now and then, while others are into the game for profit. Whatever your purpose may be for playing roulette, it is good to know how much you are willing to spend any time to prevent too much loss on your pockets.
Playing Smart
Although roulette is a very simple game that one can easily learn, it is not reason to stop paying attention to the game at hand. A player should remember that every bet he makes is an investment.
Take a player who has a starting bankroll of about $100. With this amount, a player should limit his losses to the same amount for the entire roulette session. In a similar vein, a player who wins the same amount during the session should know to stop and return another day.
This is a basic guide when it comes to protecting your bankroll while making sure that roulette still remains a game of full of fun and excitement.
Maximizing Enjoyment
Nothing feels better than winning several rounds at the roulette table. Winning big is one sure way of succeeding in fattening your bankroll when you learn how to play roulette. However, this hardly happens a lot. Roulette has a lot of chance factored into it that makes it imperative for players to maintain control of their minds and manage their money better. It is easy to fall into a false sense of luck that will lead you to a winning streak or win after a losing a streak if you keep going at it. That is how most casinos would advertise a game such as roulette.

It is important to remember that you should not gamble with money you are not willing to lose or can’t afford to. Be ready with your own game plan to increase your chances of winning. There are several guides out there that can help you increase the odds of winning. This is a better option than playing blindly. And this one is easier said than done – know when to stop. It is generally known that it takes a good player to know when to stop when he’s on a losing skid or winning streak. Even if you lose, you may have learned something and know that you lost what you can afford to lose. This may have dampened your spirits but not to the extent that you would hate yourself afterwards. On one hand, if you earned a small or big profit, that makes the game more thrilling than usual. More than that, you have been thoroughly entertained.



Money Management
Almost all the gambling books you will read will extol Money Management as the final piece of the puzzle which will let you gamble with the pros. The truth is that because the House Advantage eventually wears everybody down, there are no Pro Gamblers outside of Poker and Sports Booking, etc. and there is no Money Management system which will guarantee that you will always win at the tables.
Opening Caveat
The casinos, in fact, love Money Management systems because it does two things:
• It gives gamblers a false sense of security that they can consistently beat the House (they can't)
• It keeps gamblers at the tables for longer periods of time (i.e., more Risk Cycles) thus giving the casinos a much greater likelihood of wearing them down
So, Money Management is actually a dangerous thing, because it can benefit the House, which is never in your best interest (there are no "Win-Win" games at a casino). Yet, at the same time you must impose on yourself certain Money Management rules, and have a Money Management System. The difference between smart gamblers and suckers is that the suckers believe that Money Management is a cure-all and smart gamblers realize the limitations of Money Management systems and its role in casino betting.
Beware many of the books which extol the virtues of Money Management, as most of their systems are mathematically unsound. If you can't 100% understand the mathematics of the system, don't use it.
Why Money Management IS Critically Important
Before you walk into the casino you must know two things:
• How much you are willing to lose before you quit -- You should only gamble what you can afford to lose, without worrying or becoming emotional about it. Because if you lose and worry about it, you are likely to become a "panicked gambler" who takes wild odds in the hope of recouping losses (hint: "panicked gamblers" never win).
• How much you are willing to accept as your winnings and quit if you get ahead -- To be a winner, you have to walk away from the casino a winner. If you get ahead and continue to gamble, the House Advantage will eventually wear you back down. Thus, you have to have in your mind a reasonable pre-determined number where you say "OK, if I get up by $X dollars I will be satisfied and leave the casino not matter how hot I am at that moment." If you do not set this number in advance, and you do get ahead, the most likely thing that will happen is that the House Advantage will kick in and you will lose it all right back -- and walk away a loser. You may remember and talk about for days that great "hot streak" you had, but your ability to pay your credit card bill for you gambling weekend when it comes due is the real test of whether you were a winner or not.
Trivia: Las Vegas is replete with stories of "whales" (large bettors) who cleaned the casinos out of millions during a hot streak, and the casinos did something to keep them on-premises (whether telling them that the Lear Jet broke down or whatever), and then the "whales" losing it right back because they were persuaded to go back and gamble a little more. Why would a casino want to bring a hot bettor back for more gambling? Simply because the casino knows that because of the House Advantage over time it will always come out the winner.
This is Money Management at its most basic. If you have not made these two critically important determinations before you enter the casino, you have committed yourself to a dangerous course where you can end up losing much more than you can afford.
Money Management System -- The Basics
After you have determined how much you can stand to lose, and when you will walk away from the casino if you get ahead, you can then focus on developing a Money Management Strategy. The goal of a Money Management System is to enhance your casino earnings -- and thus reducing the House Advantage -- without substantially increasing your risk.
A couple of important points:
• Money Management Systems only really work if your luck and play decreases the House Advantage to a "Statistical Dead Heat" with the House, i..e, at least less than 1%.
• Even the best Money Management System will not make up for bad luck or bad play.
• If you are unlucky or play badly, a poor Money Management System will likely make your losses much worse than if you made the identical bets every hand, spin or roll.
• A Money Management System which has as a goal only that you can stay and play for a long time and thus win comps, is inherently flawed, because eventually the House Advantage will wear you down irrespective of how good your Money Management System is.
Doubling Systems
Some casino "experts" advocate a variety of "doubling" systems. These are uniformly disasters in the making.
Let-It-Ride Strategies -- This says that when you win you should double your bet. What this guarantees is that when you lose you will do so with your highest bet, not a smart idea. Only suckers Let-It-Ride.
Double-After-Loss Strategies -- This strategy can be successful for a while. The trouble is that if you keep losing, your bets will exponentially increase to where you can no longer "cover" and then you have really lost big.
A Basic Money Management System
To illustrate how a basic money management system operates -- and can fail -- let's look at a progressive betting system, where every time you win you increase your bet by one unit, and when you lose you decrease your betting by one unit. The idea here is that when you are "hot" you should be upping your bets, and when you're "cold" you should be decreasing your bets.
With the below chart, assume you are playing Roulette and starting off with a $50 bet. If you lose, you will decrease your bet by $10 and if you win you will increase your bet by $10. Sounds pretty good, eh? Let's see how you will do, assuming your win 50% of the spins.
Your Bet Result Winnings Losses
$50 L $50
$40 L $40
$30 L $30
$20 W $20
$30 W $30
$40 L $40
$30 W $30
$40 L $40
$30 W $30
$40 W $40
Totals 5W/5L $150 $200
Ouch! With this system, you won 50% of the time but still lost $50. This illustrates a system which sounds pretty good -- it is even advocated by several self-appointed gambling "experts" -- but which is mathematically unsound and which will send you to the Poor Farm quicker than if you had used no system at all.
A Basic Money Management System Which Works
So, let's take the above system and turn it on it's head. If we lose, we will increase our bet by $10, but if we lose we will decrease our bet by $10. The theory here is simply that we will always win $10 more than when we lose.
Your Bet Result Winnings Losses
$50 L $50
$60 L $60
$70 L $70
$80 W $80
$70 W $70
$60 L $60
$70 W $70
$60 L $60
$70 W $70
$60 W $60
Totals 5W/5L $350 $300
Net Gain: $50
Shazaam! Now we're up $50 on the House, or $10 for every win we had -- Mortgage the condo, pack the wife, we're leavin' for Vegas tonight! Not quite, for while this is a System which works, it will still not overcome the House Advantage or bad luck.
Let's look at what would have happened if the last roll was a loss instead of a win:
Your Bet Result Winnings Losses
$50 L $50
$60 L $60
$70 L $70
$80 W $80
$70 W $70
$60 L $60
$70 W $70
$60 L $60
$70 W $70
$60 L $60
Totals 4W/6L $290 $360
Net Loss: $70
What this illustrates is that even with a mathematically sound money management system, you will still walk away a loser unless you can win at least 1/2 of the time. If you can't win at least 1/2 of the time (whether you play badly or Lady Luck simply doesn't like you), then you will lose whether or not you have a sound Money Management Strategy in place.
However, note that even if you a losing, a good Money Management System will help you cut your losses. In the foregoing example, if you had simply bet $50 each time, then your 4 wins would have produced $200 and your 6 losses would have totaled $300, meaning that you would have lost $100 -- whereas by this Money Management System you lost only $70 (i.e., your losses are still $30 less than they would have been if you had NO system).
So the fact that Money Management Systems are not a cure-all does not mean that you should ignore Money Management Systems -- as shown they can increase your yield. But for this system to win you must also have the luck and skill to play the casino "at par" or within the "statistical dead heat" of a House Advantage of less than 1%.
For this system to work, you have to either beat the House or play the House close to even. The problem with this system is that if you have bad luck or make bad decisions, you're bets will spiral up, to where you are making larger bets than you want to make.
So with this system there is a final rule: Before the game begins, you must set in your mind a given size of a bet. When you reach that size of bet, you must declare yourself a loser and leave the table. Else, your bets will keep increasing as you lose, and you will end up a "desperate gambler" -- and desperate gamblers never win.
What happens if you beat the casino more than 50% of the time and end up betting zero? Easy: You've won. Cash out your winnings, don't bet the rest of the weekend, and walk away knowing that you are one of the very few people who has ever "beat" the casino!





Casino Gambling: Money Management
One of the earliest concerns of a gambling player is the fate of his dollars. You cannot just go out there and play to your heart's content without thinking about your bankroll based on the outcome of your game. Money management, therefore, is a required skill for any gambler who is looking to take his hobby seriously.
The key towards managing your bankroll is understanding the ins and outs of your favorite casino games. Be aware that the House always enjoys a specific advantage. If you know your game well enough, you will certainly find ways to reduce the House edge to its minimum. Learn to play games that give the House the smallest advantage. Luck-based games are no-no in this case. Your dollars will have a better chance at growing when your skills are used intelligently. Play skill-based games like Poker so you get a hand at your own luck.
It will also help a lot if you are able to establish your capacity as a gambler. Know your winning skills and your money limits. Playing a game you barely know puts your ability to win at its lowest peak, thus, it is almost a waste of money to bet on it in the first place. If you are playing to win, try to master a game and play frequently so you become more used to the different game situations. Your winning ability speaks for your betting limits. If you know that you have what it takes to win, you can bet more confidently. Still, it is advisable that you stick to your limits. Leave your credit cards at home so you do not get tempted at spending more than you can afford.
The wisest thing a gambler could do to protect his bankroll is to set a budget limit and follow it strictly. Going overboard once will make it habitual. Learn when to stop yourself and for sure, you will not regret any of your gambling experiences.
Of course, it should not be missed that money management starts with careful planning. Setting budget limits and money goals are done at home, right before you set off for the casino. If you already have a concept in mind, you will be guided through. Try to master discipline and self control. The problem that most gamblers face is that they are finding it hard to leave the casino when they are ahead. Then again, you must realize that leaving when you're ahead is a sure sign of winning. You cannot let that moment pass because it may no longer come back. It is better to win some that lose your all.




Roulette money management
Despite the fact the house has a slight advantage in roulette, you can use roulette money management to overcome this and have some long term roulette success. The foundation of your success will be built on betting on only what you can afford to lose. You need to have a line drawn in the sand which if crossed will see you get up from the roulette wheel and walk away from the roulette table.

One of the key points of roulette money management is to work out how much your bankroll is going to be. That is, how much you are going to bet with. Following that you must decide how much your bet unit will be. If you are a cautious player maybe go for 1% which means on a bankroll of $300, your betting unit should be $3. If you are more aggressive you can increase that to as much as 5% or $15. Don’t be intimidated into changing your betting unit by what is happening around you. Stay true to your roulette money management principles. Once you have decided on what your limit is going to be you have to stick with it.

Establish a Bankroll
Roulette Money Management It is important to establish, before playing roulette, how much you want to bet with. Work out what you can afford to bet with and don’t go over that amount. Always be prepared for losses, every gamblers experiences that, but the good ones, know what they can afford to lose and don’t go beyond that amount.

Playing Smart
Although roulette is a very simple game that one can easily learn, it is not reason to stop paying attention to the game at hand. A player should remember that every bet he makes is an investment. Take a player who has a starting bankroll of about $100. With this amount, a player should limit his losses to the same amount for the entire roulette session. In a similar vein, a player who wins the same amount during the session should know to stop and return another day. This is a basic guide when it comes to protecting your bankroll while making sure that roulette still remains a game of full of fun and excitement.

Avoid the Martingale System of Betting
If you use the Martingale system as a betting strategy, it means that you double your bets every time you lose. However, using this betting system can easily destroy your bankroll with a short losing streak. I use one betting system, and it works for me, and for other pro roulette gamblers. This system is the progressive roulette betting system. You do the opposite to the Martingale system; you raise your bets when you win. This system provides you with the opportunity to bet with your winnings and not your initial bankroll. You should give it a try.


Lucky Strike made this question: “When is your money your money?” I did have at a point to answer that myself many moons ago; how much to keep to my personal (and familiar) expenses, how much to re-invest? Answer = the magic number is 50%.

Let me explain my take on the 50% Money Management from scratch with 3 starting banks as lifetime-bankroll:



This is the main scheme: To explode as much as possible 1st bank’s unit value and to create as many minimum-value banks to act as “cushion” between you and the casino as you can make. The more banks the better because in gambling having available bankrolls to play is life itself.

…If you are playing you’d want to own the profits as soon as you finish your session, but also your stack of banks needs to grow. Under the 50% framework, after a winning session you split the 100% won amount like this:



50% to you, the person playing and 50% to re-invest.

The re-invested 50% amount is again split in half (25% + 25%) and distributed equally to increase the unit value at the 1st bank you want to Explode in the $$$ value and to help in the creation of new banks to serve as more cushion between you and the casino.

__________________

As you have a successful inter-session winning streak (several sessions won in a row) you grow the unit value at the first bank, and this triggers more actual money for you to have your 50% cut with each session, increases more rapidly the number of minimum-value unit banks as “cushion” and also enters in a positive loop by re-increasing 1st bank’s $$$ value per unit.




If you hit a bad inter-session streak (several concatenated sessions lost) after losing the first bank, a minimum-unit value bank is taken from reserve and you give back / lose the least $$$ possible as the value is returned the minimum again.


________________________________________

Please remember the more fragmented the unit the better. If you play for instance the dozens with 1 unit = 10 chips, you can enjoy rising in decimals like this: 10.1 = 11 chips placed on the dozen. 10.3 = 13 chips placed, etc. when using “solid” units ( 1 unit = 1 chip ) this is not available.

And of course, feel free to use this Money Management scheme with the system that suits you better.

Hope it helps.

Best regards from your friend,
Victor






Roulette: Three Frequently Asked Questions
2 October 2000

By Alan Krigman

As you might imagine, I field a lot of questions when I'm in a casino. Here are three about roulette that are asked frequently.
If a color has been winning a lot, do your odds improve by betting with it or against it on the next round?
Neither. Roulette is a game of independent trials. Apparent "patterns" have no meaning and probabilities associated with the wagers are invariable. The chance of hitting red or black, for instance, is always 47.37 percent in a double-zero game.
It's easy to believe that colors clump because the displays at the tables typically exhibit runs in the red or black columns. But this can be expected in random series of fixed-odds events.
As an example, would you think you were onto something if you saw eight or more sets of black-black or red-red, including cases of over two in a row, in 24 spins? There's 70 percent chance it will happen at random. How about four or more instances of at least triplets? The chance is slightly over 50 percent. And the probability of five or more successive reds or blacks is nearly 25 percent. Try it at home with 20 series of 24 flips of a coin, jotting down heads or tails. You may be surprised at how many pairs and longer runs you get, knowing every flip is 50-50.
Is there a difference between betting on a combination of numbers -- say, covering four spots at a "four corners" intersection -- and distributing the same total over each outcome separately?
With two exceptions, there's no difference. Say you put $4 on the corner of 17, 18, 20, and 21. A hit gets you 8-to-1 on the $4 so you'd collect $32 and recover your $4 -- you'd have $36. Instead, suppose you bet $1 on each of any four numbers. If one hit, you get 35-to-1 on the winner and lose on the other three -- you collect $35 and get back $1 so you'd again have $36.
One of the exceptions occurs in casinos that take only half the bet on "even money" wagers like red or black when the spin comes up 0 or 00. Here, a single $18 bet pays $18 and returns your $18 on a hit, so you have $36; you lose $18 on the complementary numbers, and $9 on 0 or 00. With $1 on each of the 18 individual numbers, a hit pays $35 and returns $1 so you'd have $36; a complementary number costs $18, but 0 and 00 cost $18 and not $9.
The other exception involves the combined bet on 0, 00, 1, 2, and 3. This 33-to-5 shot pays 6-to-1 so winning with $5 at risk gets $30 plus your original $5, leaving you with $35. With $1 each on the separate numbers, a hit nets $35 and $1 back so you have $36.

Can you beat the house at roulette starting with the table minimum on an even-money bet, then doubling-up after every loss and returning to the lowest level when you win?
This "Martingale" betting system offers a high likelihood of a small profit, balanced against a low but finite chances of a major rout. The weakness is that while the probability of an extended string of losses keeps decreasing, it never gets to zero. And the amount of money at risk escalates rapidly.
For double-zero roulette, neglecting the half-back on 0 or 00, the chance of either color losing on any spin is 52.63 percent. The chance of five losses in a row is about 4 percent. Had you started with $5, after five losses you'd have just bet $80 and would be down $155. The chance of 10 successive losses is 0.163 percent; you'd have just bet $2,560 and would be $5,115 behind. Admittedly, 0.163 percent is small. But, if 100,000 players try this approach, it means 163 can expect to lose 10 times running.
Such questions show you can size and distribute roulette bets to tailor sessions to your personal gambling preferences. And in limited cases, you can find the best ways to make similar wagers. So perceptive players can bend the rules of arithmetic. But not break them. As the poet, Sumner A Ingmark, warned:
Mathematics leaves no grounds,
For going out of nature's bounds.





Casinos let you win more often than you lose. But there's a catch.
27 September 2010

By Alan Krigman

It isn't the difference between the odds of the house or the player winning particular bets that fills a casino's coffers. Urban myth aside, bettors can win more often than they lose. The rest of the story is that payoffs upon success are less than losses upon failure. And the bosses make their dough on the gap between the odds of winning and the payoff ratio, regardless of who the statistics say will win wagers more frequently.

Most casino patrons today prefer propositions on which they can score big multiples of the money at risk. It's the essence of utility theory and the allure of the slots. Sow a little, hoping to reap a lot. Then, defeat isn't bitter but victory is sweet. Minor setbacks, however, are far more likely than major gains.

Some gamblers fancy the opposite approach, high probabilities of collecting small amounts, at the peril of occasionally getting bludgeoned. Roulette affords both types of action. For instance, at double-zero tables, the odds are a steep 37-to-1 that the house will prevail over folks who bet $10 on any number, but they get a $350 payday. Alternately, punters may split $10 between two columns, to have favorable 24-to-14 (roughly 1.7-to-1) odds of winning, but they can only earn $5.

Enquiring minds will surely want to know how these two types of bets affect their outlook for whole sessions or casino visits. The auxiliary "Free Odds" bets on Pass and Don't Pass for points of four at craps offer good examples for purposes of comparison.

Assume, arguendo, the flat portion of the wager is $10 and the maximum Odds multiple is 5X. Pass is expected to lose twice as often as it wins, and $50 in Free Odds earns $100 if a four pops before a seven. Don't Pass is expected to win twice as often as it loses, but $100 in Free Odds only earns $50 if a seven shows before a four. Edge on these bets is zero because fighting 2-to-1 pays 2-to-1 while having a 2-to-1 upper hand pays 1-to-2; there's no margin between the odds of winning and the payoff either way.

Given enough decisions for the law of averages to be reliably applied, zero edge means that players should come out even with either bet. How about the short term that characterizes almost everybody's play? Are there disparities between fewer but larger and more but smaller wins in a normal gambling time frame?

Computer simulations are handy tools to answer these questions. Pretend that a million pairs of solid citizens wager the full 5X Free Odds on $10 flat bets with points of four. One of each pair is on Pass and the other on Don't Pass. Supposing nobody busts out early, and recognizing that even after a million trials the results will still show a margin of error, here are the findings.
• If each player goes for 25 decisions then stops, the tallies are 463,000 Pass bettors with winning sessions averaging $307 up and 537,000 with losing sessions averaging $264 down. The exact reverse holds for the Don't Pass bettors.
• If each goes for 100 decisions then quits, the tallies are 480,821 Pass bettors relishing ecstasy, averaging $587 ahead and 519,179 suffering agony, averaging $544 behind. The exact reverse holds for the Don't Pass bettors.
Because the 25 and 100 coups simulated weren't integrally divisible by three, nobody broke exactly even. Bettors as a group, though, averaged close to zero. (Numbers of winners times the average won minus numbers of losers times the average lost, divided by a million equalled under $1 per player.)

The simulations demonstrate that sessions follow the same trends as individual coups. If you have a greater chance of winning than losing your bets, but get paid less than the amount wagered, expect more successful sessions but with lower earnings when they happen. Con-versely, if you're more apt to lose than win each bet but the payoff exceeds what's at risk, your prospects are for fewer fruitful sessions but higher profits when they occur. Play long enough, though, and it all comes out in the wash. As the beloved bard, Sumner A Ingmark, enigmatically expressed it:
If more is less and less is more,
Trust time to even up the score.







A Roulette Strategy That Wins Three Times More Often Than It Loses
17 May 2004

By Alan Krigman

Here's the strategy. Pick a number and bet it for $5. Quit immediately on a win. Otherwise, bet on the same or a different single number again. And keep going. If you lose 36 in a row, you're down $180 and start betting $10 a spin on a single number. The worst case scenario, 18 more losses, puts you $180 deeper in the hole for a total of $360.
Hit within 54 spins and you'll be from break-even to $175 ahead. Even if you're unlucky, you've had about two hours of excitement at a game featured in top-drawer, well-loved movies like Casablanca. And, of course, you only brought as much as you could afford to lose so you figure it as the price of entertainment.
What's the risk of disaster? At double-zero roulette, the chance that a bet on a single number will lose on any spin is an almost overwhelming 37 out of 38, or 97.4 percent. The chance of 54 such losses in a row is this probability multiplied by itself 54 times, or a much more tolerable 23.7 percent. The likelihood is only 37.3 percent that you'll get as far as the critical point when you lost $180, started betting $10 per spin, and began to doubt whether this scheme was really so brilliant after all.
On the brighter side, consider your chance of getting back after being behind, or of winning various amounts. Overall, the probability of this happy eventuality is the compliment of 54 consecutive misses, 76.3 percent.
Within the rapturous range, prospects improve for particular amounts as sizes of the wins increase. At the low end, it's 2.7 percent of breaking even or going $5 over the top by hitting on the 35th, 36th, or 54th try. The high extreme is 6.2 percent of winning $170 or $175 with a score on the 1st, 2nd, or 37th attempt.
Cumulative probabilities, of winning more than some specified amount, decline as the target rises. The accompanying table shows the chances of winning at least some representative amounts -- from $25 to $175 in increments of $25.
Probability of winning at least
the indicated amounts
amount probability
$25 68.9%
$50 61.2%
$75 51.8%
$100 42.1%
$125 30.2%
$150 17.7%
$175 2.6%
This may appear unappealing if you think in terms of taking that $360 you told yourself you could always get your hands on, and investing it in a shot at changing your life. Were this to be your goal, roulette could still be your game but an alternate approach would be appropriate. Any of many conceivable alternatives, actually. Such as running through your initial bankroll once following the $5 and $10 system but not stopping upon a win, or starting with the $5 and $10 idea and going the 54 spins while raising your bets or spreading to additional numbers using any earnings you make along the random walk to Easy Street.
But, say you're among those who gamble for recreation, hoping mainly for a free day of fun or maybe a trip home with a few more bucks in your fanny pack than you brought. This approach then offers that impressive 76.3 percent chance of success, offset by a much scantier 23.7 percent chance of a $360 rout. Another example of how solid citizens can shape their fates within the broad limits defined by the possible and the probable. An ability reflected by rhymer, Sumner A Ingmark, when he reverently wrote:

Artful dexterity leads to temerity,
Mental rigidity brings on timidity.




Roulette - Money Management

Good money management can go a long way toward making sure you have a successful and enjoyable roulette experience. The simple fact is, if you don't have money, you can't play. Additionally, if you lose more than you were prepared to, you won't enjoy the game.

Roulette Money Management Strategy No. 1: Establish a Bankroll
It's no good to be sent home after three spins of the wheel. Think about how much and how often you like to bet. Rather than randomly scattering chips over the layout, plan to bet, for example, 20 chips per spin.

If a spin takes one minute from beginning to end, that is 1,800 chips per hour. If you are going to play for five hours, you will need 9,000 chips if you never win. Of course, it is unlikely that you will never win, but you want to have enough chips with you that you can weather an extended losing streak.

If you prefer to play inside bets, you should have a bigger bankroll, since inside bets come in less often. Outside bets require a much smaller bankroll.
Roulette Money Management Strategy No. 2: Avoid the Martingale System
Some roulette players feel that a Martingale system, in which you double your bet every time you lose, is the way to go in roulette. Using such a system can quickly devastate your bankroll. It usually takes only a short losing streak of seven to ten spins to run up against the House betting limit or leave you with no chips to continue the system. If you must use a betting system, use a progressive roulette betting system, that allows you to raise your bet when you win, not when you lose.